Recent housing market data and subdued transaction volumes have anchored trader consensus around the $1.173–1.18 million band for the Los Angeles Metro median home value as of May 31. Elevated listing prices near $1.15–1.2 million, persistent low inventory, and mortgage rates holding near 6.5% have supported price stability despite modest year-over-year gains or slight dips in sale prices reported by sources such as Redfin and the California Association of REALTORS. Institutional adoption of real-money prediction markets reinforces the reliability of this skin-in-the-game consensus. A material revision in the underlying index or an abrupt shift in buyer demand from higher rates could still produce an outlier outcome, though such developments appear unlikely given the narrow trading range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?
What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?
1.173 - 1.18m 100.0%
<1.166m <1%
1.166 - 1.173m <1%
1.18 - 1.187m <1%
$7,077 交易量
$7,077 交易量
2026-05-31
<1.166m
No
1.166 - 1.173m
No
1.173 - 1.18m
Yes
1.18 - 1.187m
No
1.187 - 1.194m
No
1.194 - 1.209m
No
>1.209m
No
1.173 - 1.18m 100.0%
<1.166m <1%
1.166 - 1.173m <1%
1.18 - 1.187m <1%
$7,077 交易量
$7,077 交易量
2026-05-31
<1.166m
$1,113 交易量
No
1.166 - 1.173m
$508 交易量
No
1.173 - 1.18m
$2,725 交易量
Yes
1.18 - 1.187m
$880 交易量
No
1.187 - 1.194m
$636 交易量
No
1.194 - 1.209m
$650 交易量
No
>1.209m
$565 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)Recent housing market data and subdued transaction volumes have anchored trader consensus around the $1.173–1.18 million band for the Los Angeles Metro median home value as of May 31. Elevated listing prices near $1.15–1.2 million, persistent low inventory, and mortgage rates holding near 6.5% have supported price stability despite modest year-over-year gains or slight dips in sale prices reported by sources such as Redfin and the California Association of REALTORS. Institutional adoption of real-money prediction markets reinforces the reliability of this skin-in-the-game consensus. A material revision in the underlying index or an abrupt shift in buyer demand from higher rates could still produce an outlier outcome, though such developments appear unlikely given the narrow trading range.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
交易量
$7,077结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)Recent housing market data and subdued transaction volumes have anchored trader consensus around the $1.173–1.18 million band for the Los Angeles Metro median home value as of May 31. Elevated listing prices near $1.15–1.2 million, persistent low inventory, and mortgage rates holding near 6.5% have supported price stability despite modest year-over-year gains or slight dips in sale prices reported by sources such as Redfin and the California Association of REALTORS. Institutional adoption of real-money prediction markets reinforces the reliability of this skin-in-the-game consensus. A material revision in the underlying index or an abrupt shift in buyer demand from higher rates could still produce an outlier outcome, though such developments appear unlikely given the narrow trading range.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
交易量
$7,077结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent housing market data and subdued transaction volumes have anchored trader consensus around the $1.173–1.18 million band for the Los Angeles Metro median home value as of May 31. Elevated listing prices near $1.15–1.2 million, persistent low inventory, and mortgage rates holding near 6.5% have supported price stability despite modest year-over-year gains or slight dips in sale prices reported by sources such as Redfin and the California Association of REALTORS. Institutional adoption of real-money prediction markets reinforces the reliability of this skin-in-the-game consensus. A material revision in the underlying index or an abrupt shift in buyer demand from higher rates could still produce an outlier outcome, though such developments appear unlikely given the narrow trading range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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