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失业 预测与赔率

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Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

11%

$70.2K 交易量

$12.3K Liq.

Ends 6 个月内

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

93%

$1.2B

$23.1K 交易量

$4.4K Liq.

Ends 23 天内

Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

92%

$2.3B

$20.5K 交易量

$5.0K Liq.

Ends 23 天内

Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

51%

$1.275B

$0 交易量

$125 Liq.

Ends 24 天内

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

90%

Up

$25.4K 交易量

$5.9K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

June Unemployment Rate

June Unemployment Rate

34%

4.3%

$2.3K 交易量

$13.1K Liq.

Ends 12 天内

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

9%

5.0%

$444K 交易量

$8.6K Liq.

14

Ends 6 个月内

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

9%

$7.1K 交易量

$1.5K Liq.

2

Ends 8 个月内

How many jobs added in June?

How many jobs added in June?

21%

100k – 150k

$3.0K 交易量

$9.4K Liq.

Ends 13 天内

Valorant: Joblife vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group B

Valorant: Joblife vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group B

56%

Joblife

$0 交易量

$13.0K Liq.

Ends 3 天内

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

28%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$4.0K 交易量

$1.7K Liq.

1

Ends 7 个月内

Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby

$8.3K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 5 个月前

Who will Trump publicly praise by June 30?

Who will Trump publicly praise by June 30?

43%

Mark Rutte

$145K 交易量

$10.0K Liq.

Ends 11 天内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

18%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$14.9K Liq.

135

Ends 6 个月内

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

68%

Starmer - UK PM

$1M 交易量

$411K today

$486K Liq.

14

Ends 6 个月内

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

13%

$2M 交易量

$31.2K Liq.

69

Ends 7 个月内

Zelenskyy # posts June 23 - June 30, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 23 - June 30, 2026?

39%

80-99

$569 交易量

$3.9K Liq.

Ends 10 天内

UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

33%

$5.4K 交易量

$1.7K Liq.

3

Ends 9 个月内

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

$621K 交易量

$34.1K Liq.

Ends 6 个月内

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

81%

$2.8K 交易量

$2.7K Liq.

2

Ends 5 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 失业 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 105 个活跃的 失业 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $7.0M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Nothing Ever Happens: 2026"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"MegaETH airdrop by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"MegaETH airdrop by...?",市场目前认为 December 31, 2026 的概率为 18%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 失业 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。