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银行 预测与赔率

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Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

1%

Lloyds

$525K 交易量

$35.3K Liq.

Ends 23 天内

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

8%

BMO

$23.5K 交易量

$59.5K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?

Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?

84%

$57 交易量

$1.7K Liq.

1

Ends 7 个月内

US bank failure by June 30?

US bank failure by June 30?

32%

$5.3K 交易量

$844 Liq.

Ends 23 天内

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

14%

$3.6K 交易量

$1.3K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

45%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$8.3K Liq.

135

Ends 7 个月内

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

90%

$1.2B

$1.1K 交易量

$6.4K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 8?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 8?

62%

$730

$2.2K 交易量

$16.6K Liq.

Ends 2 天内

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in June 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in June 2026?

82%

↓ $304

$14.9K 交易量

$13.8K Liq.

Ends 24 天内

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

69%

$34.6K 交易量

$711 Liq.

2

Ends 7 个月内

Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above __?

Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above __?

96%

$1.9B

$5.2K 交易量

$14.6K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above __?

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above __?

97%

$2.1B

$1.2K 交易量

$12.7K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above __?

Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above __?

97%

$2.55B

$7.1K 交易量

$17.2K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in June 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in June 2026?

74%

↓ $200

$55.9K 交易量

$11.5K Liq.

Ends 24 天内

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

40%

↓ 100

$283K 交易量

$33.4K Liq.

11

Ends 7 个月内

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

98%

25 bps Increase

$699K 交易量

$118K Liq.

Ends 4 天内

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

10%

June 30

$165K 交易量

$116 Liq.

10

What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

67%

↓ 57,500

$9M 交易量

$781K today

$1M Liq.

Ends 24 天内

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

48%

December 31, 2027

$494K 交易量

$5.4K Liq.

31

Ends 超过 1 年内

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

70%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$2.1K 交易量

$70.9K Liq.

Ends 3 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 银行 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 107 个活跃的 银行 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Which banks will fail by June 30?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $13.8M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"US bank failure by June 30?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"What price will Bitcoin hit in June?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"What price will Bitcoin hit in June?",市场目前认为 ↓ 57,500 的概率为 67%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 银行 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。