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移民 预测与赔率

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Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 31

$146K 交易量

$19.9K Liq.

10

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

35%

400-500k

$106K 交易量

$73.7K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

42%

$190K 交易量

$13.5K Liq.

79

Ends 8 个月内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

82%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$4.7K Liq.

125

Ends 大约 1 个月内

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

6%

$460 交易量

$781 Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

10%

June 30

$166K 交易量

$19.5K Liq.

4

Ends 大约 1 个月内

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in May 2026?

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in May 2026?

76%

↑ $640

$53.4K 交易量

$34.4K Liq.

Ends 15 天内

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

90%

$122K 交易量

$14.4K Liq.

1

Ends 4 个月内

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K 交易量

$5.5K Liq.

33

Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

3%

June 30

$4M 交易量

$40.5K Liq.

1,035

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

73%

December 31, 2026

$7.3K 交易量

$69 Liq.

1

Ends 8 个月内

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

82%

50

$18.3K 交易量

$7.1K Liq.

2

Ends 8 个月内

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

41%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K 交易量

$945 Liq.

5

Ends 8 个月内

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

57%

↓ 75,000

$18M 交易量

$897K today

$4M Liq.

2

Ends 15 天内

CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Independiente - More Markets

CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Independiente - More Markets

-

$15.6K 交易量

Ends 4 个月前

Khamenei # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

78%

<5

$689 交易量

$5.6K Liq.

Ends 9 天内

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K 交易量

$271 Liq.

3

Ends 8 个月内

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

62%

↑ $1.80

$1.5K 交易量

$429 Liq.

3

Ends 8 个月内

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

69%

1-100

$235K 交易量

$55.3K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

AZ vs. NEC - More Markets

AZ vs. NEC - More Markets

-

$96.7K 交易量

Ends 4 个月前

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 移民 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 100 个活跃的 移民 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $26.7M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"What price will Bitcoin hit in May?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"What price will Bitcoin hit in May?",市场目前认为 ↑ 80,000 的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 移民 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。