Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 97.8% implied probability for NewJeans performing by March 31, driven by their extended K-pop hiatus amid the unresolved ADOR-HYBE legal feud. Since the group's last stage at the 2024 MAMA Awards, no comebacks, music releases, or live shows have materialized, as members demand former CEO Min Hee-jin's reinstatement following her ouster and a failed contract suspension injunction. A December court ruling upheld their ADOR ties, but stalled negotiations and agency gridlock signal no near-term activity. Realistic upsets hinge on a surprise settlement or last-minute festival slot like Coachella precursors, though unannounced schedules make this improbable absent official word.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NewJeans会在3月31日前再次演出吗？
NewJeans会在3月31日前再次演出吗？
是
$20,540 交易量
$20,540 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
是
$20,540 交易量
$20,540 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NewJeans (뉴진스, NJZ) gives at least one live performance as a group at any point between November 13, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying performance must involve at least three members of NewJeans performing together under the group name "NewJeans" in front of a live audience or as part of a livestreamed or televised event.
Prerecorded performances aired within the market's timeframe that were filmed earlier will not count. Solo or sub-unit performances will not count. Dance practices or behind-the-scenes content do not qualify as performances for this market.
The resolution source will be official announcements from NewJeans (including verified social media) and ADOR, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NewJeans (뉴진스, NJZ) gives at least one live performance as a group at any point between November 13, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying performance must involve at least three members of NewJeans performing together under the group name "NewJeans" in front of a live audience or as part of a livestreamed or televised event.
Prerecorded performances aired within the market's timeframe that were filmed earlier will not count. Solo or sub-unit performances will not count. Dance practices or behind-the-scenes content do not qualify as performances for this market.
The resolution source will be official announcements from NewJeans (including verified social media) and ADOR, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if NewJeans (뉴진스, NJZ) gives at least one live performance as a group at any point between November 13, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying performance must involve at least three members of NewJeans performing together under the group name "NewJeans" in front of a live audience or as part of a livestreamed or televised event.
Prerecorded performances aired within the market's timeframe that were filmed earlier will not count. Solo or sub-unit performances will not count. Dance practices or behind-the-scenes content do not qualify as performances for this market.
The resolution source will be official announcements from NewJeans (including verified social media) and ADOR, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Prerecorded performances aired within the market's timeframe that were filmed earlier will not count. Solo or sub-unit performances will not count. Dance practices or behind-the-scenes content do not qualify as performances for this market.
The resolution source will be official announcements from NewJeans (including verified social media) and ADOR, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 13, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
交易量
$20,540结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 4:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if NewJeans (뉴진스, NJZ) gives at least one live performance as a group at any point between November 13, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying performance must involve at least three members of NewJeans performing together under the group name "NewJeans" in front of a live audience or as part of a livestreamed or televised event.
Prerecorded performances aired within the market's timeframe that were filmed earlier will not count. Solo or sub-unit performances will not count. Dance practices or behind-the-scenes content do not qualify as performances for this market.
The resolution source will be official announcements from NewJeans (including verified social media) and ADOR, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NewJeans (뉴진스, NJZ) gives at least one live performance as a group at any point between November 13, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying performance must involve at least three members of NewJeans performing together under the group name "NewJeans" in front of a live audience or as part of a livestreamed or televised event.
Prerecorded performances aired within the market's timeframe that were filmed earlier will not count. Solo or sub-unit performances will not count. Dance practices or behind-the-scenes content do not qualify as performances for this market.
The resolution source will be official announcements from NewJeans (including verified social media) and ADOR, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if NewJeans (뉴진스, NJZ) gives at least one live performance as a group at any point between November 13, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying performance must involve at least three members of NewJeans performing together under the group name "NewJeans" in front of a live audience or as part of a livestreamed or televised event.
Prerecorded performances aired within the market's timeframe that were filmed earlier will not count. Solo or sub-unit performances will not count. Dance practices or behind-the-scenes content do not qualify as performances for this market.
The resolution source will be official announcements from NewJeans (including verified social media) and ADOR, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Prerecorded performances aired within the market's timeframe that were filmed earlier will not count. Solo or sub-unit performances will not count. Dance practices or behind-the-scenes content do not qualify as performances for this market.
The resolution source will be official announcements from NewJeans (including verified social media) and ADOR, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$20,540结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 4:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 97.8% implied probability for NewJeans performing by March 31, driven by their extended K-pop hiatus amid the unresolved ADOR-HYBE legal feud. Since the group's last stage at the 2024 MAMA Awards, no comebacks, music releases, or live shows have materialized, as members demand former CEO Min Hee-jin's reinstatement following her ouster and a failed contract suspension injunction. A December court ruling upheld their ADOR ties, but stalled negotiations and agency gridlock signal no near-term activity. Realistic upsets hinge on a surprise settlement or last-minute festival slot like Coachella precursors, though unannounced schedules make this improbable absent official word.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题