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Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

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Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$22,449 交易量

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$22,449 交易量

Polymarket

3月31日

$13,636 交易量

11%

4月30日

$8,813 交易量

47%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance talks with at least one Iranian negotiator by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Qualifying Iranian negotiators are representatives of Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government. A talk is defined as any interaction between JD Vance and an Iranian negotiator, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.JD Vance, incoming vice president under President-elect Trump, has shown no public engagement with Iranian negotiators amid the administration's focus on curbing Tehran's nuclear program through diplomacy or maximum pressure. Recent tensions escalated after Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military sites in late October, followed by limited Iranian retaliation, prompting Trump to reiterate demands for a new nuclear deal without preconditions. Pezeshkian's reformist presidency has signaled openness to talks, but Vance's hawkish stance and limited pre-inauguration authority reduce near-term prospects. Key traders watch transition announcements and post-January 20 executive actions, with no scheduled meetings confirmed.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance talks with at least one Iranian negotiator by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Qualifying Iranian negotiators are representatives of Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government.

A talk is defined as any interaction between JD Vance and an Iranian negotiator, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$22,449
结束日期
Apr 30, 2026
市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance talks with at least one Iranian negotiator by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Qualifying Iranian negotiators are representatives of Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government. A talk is defined as any interaction between JD Vance and an Iranian negotiator, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.JD Vance, incoming vice president under President-elect Trump, has shown no public engagement with Iranian negotiators amid the administration's focus on curbing Tehran's nuclear program through diplomacy or maximum pressure. Recent tensions escalated after Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military sites in late October, followed by limited Iranian retaliation, prompting Trump to reiterate demands for a new nuclear deal without preconditions. Pezeshkian's reformist presidency has signaled openness to talks, but Vance's hawkish stance and limited pre-inauguration authority reduce near-term prospects. Key traders watch transition announcements and post-January 20 executive actions, with no scheduled meetings confirmed.

JD Vance, incoming vice president under President-elect Trump, has shown no public engagement with Iranian negotiators amid the administration's focus on curbing Tehran's nuclear program through diplomacy or maximum pressure. Recent tensions escalated after Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military sites in late October, followed by limited Iranian retaliation, prompting Trump to reiterate demands for a new nuclear deal without preconditions. Pezeshkian's reformist presidency has signaled openness to talks, but Vance's hawkish stance and limited pre-inauguration authority reduce near-term prospects. Key traders watch transition announcements and post-January 20 executive actions, with no scheduled meetings confirmed.

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常见问题

"Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"4月30日",概率为 47%,其次是"3月31日",概率为 11%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 47¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 47%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?"已产生 $22.4K 的总交易量(自Mar 24, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?"的当前领先者是"4月30日",概率为 47%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 47%。紧随其后的结果是"3月31日",概率为 11%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。