Trader sentiment on Claude's April downtime splits nearly evenly between 12+ days (41.5%) and 9-11 days (40.5%), reflecting uncertainty over Anthropic's infrastructure stability amid surging demand for its leading large language models like Claude Opus 4.6 and Sonnet 4.6. March saw 51 incidents of elevated errors and partial outages, continuing into early April with disruptions on April 1 (Opus errors, desktop app issues) and April 3 (Sonnet errors), per the official status page. Aggressive scaling to challenge OpenAI's revenue dominance—fueled by Claude's superior coding benchmarks via Claude Code—strains capacity, unlike rivals' mature cloud setups. Key swing factors include pending compute expansions or third-party usage curbs like recent OpenClaw restrictions, with 26 days left potentially tipping toward higher outage tallies if unresolved.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于12+ 42%
9-11 41%
6-8 9%
3-5 3.5%
$25,327 交易量
$25,327 交易量
2026-04-30
0-2
<1%
3-5
4%
6-8
9%
9-11
41%
12+
42%
12+ 42%
9-11 41%
6-8 9%
3-5 3.5%
$25,327 交易量
$25,327 交易量
2026-04-30
0-2
$7,308 交易量
<1%
3-5
$1,487 交易量
4%
6-8
$4,801 交易量
9%
9-11
$4,447 交易量
41%
12+
$7,284 交易量
42%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader sentiment on Claude's April downtime splits nearly evenly between 12+ days (41.5%) and 9-11 days (40.5%), reflecting uncertainty over Anthropic's infrastructure stability amid surging demand for its leading large language models like Claude Opus 4.6 and Sonnet 4.6. March saw 51 incidents of elevated errors and partial outages, continuing into early April with disruptions on April 1 (Opus errors, desktop app issues) and April 3 (Sonnet errors), per the official status page. Aggressive scaling to challenge OpenAI's revenue dominance—fueled by Claude's superior coding benchmarks via Claude Code—strains capacity, unlike rivals' mature cloud setups. Key swing factors include pending compute expansions or third-party usage curbs like recent OpenClaw restrictions, with 26 days left potentially tipping toward higher outage tallies if unresolved.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
交易量
$25,327结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader sentiment on Claude's April downtime splits nearly evenly between 12+ days (41.5%) and 9-11 days (40.5%), reflecting uncertainty over Anthropic's infrastructure stability amid surging demand for its leading large language models like Claude Opus 4.6 and Sonnet 4.6. March saw 51 incidents of elevated errors and partial outages, continuing into early April with disruptions on April 1 (Opus errors, desktop app issues) and April 3 (Sonnet errors), per the official status page. Aggressive scaling to challenge OpenAI's revenue dominance—fueled by Claude's superior coding benchmarks via Claude Code—strains capacity, unlike rivals' mature cloud setups. Key swing factors include pending compute expansions or third-party usage curbs like recent OpenClaw restrictions, with 26 days left potentially tipping toward higher outage tallies if unresolved.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
交易量
$25,327结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Claude's April downtime splits nearly evenly between 12+ days (41.5%) and 9-11 days (40.5%), reflecting uncertainty over Anthropic's infrastructure stability amid surging demand for its leading large language models like Claude Opus 4.6 and Sonnet 4.6. March saw 51 incidents of elevated errors and partial outages, continuing into early April with disruptions on April 1 (Opus errors, desktop app issues) and April 3 (Sonnet errors), per the official status page. Aggressive scaling to challenge OpenAI's revenue dominance—fueled by Claude's superior coding benchmarks via Claude Code—strains capacity, unlike rivals' mature cloud setups. Key swing factors include pending compute expansions or third-party usage curbs like recent OpenClaw restrictions, with 26 days left potentially tipping toward higher outage tallies if unresolved.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题