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哪些政党将成为下一届荷兰政府的一部分?

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哪些政党将成为下一届荷兰政府的一部分?

$875,623 交易量

Oct 29, 2025
Polymarket

$875,623 交易量

Polymarket
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PVV

$78,942 交易量

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CDA

$158,545 交易量

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分组项标题:JA21

$49,113 交易量

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BBB

$23,869 交易量

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FvD

$57,207 交易量

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Denk

$15,076 交易量

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SGP

$21,379 交易量

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Volt

$18,559 交易量

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GL/PvdA

$68,743 交易量

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VVD

$133,707 交易量

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D66

$94,211 交易量

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分组项标题:SP

$13,329 交易量

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NSC

$91,934 交易量

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PvdD

$6,095 交易量

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CU

$31,116 交易量

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50+

$13,798 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party is a part of the first Dutch government formed after the 2025 general election scheduled to take place October 29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister to the ruling government. Parties that merely provide external support (“gedoogsteun”) without holding ministerial positions will not qualify.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially announced and sworn in by the monarch, with ministers appointed under "non-caretaker circumstances."

If no government is formed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if another election is called without a government being formed this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcements from the governing coalition; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$875,623
结束日期
Oct 29, 2025
市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2025, 10:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party is a part of the first Dutch government formed after the 2025 general election scheduled to take place October 29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister to the ruling government. Parties that merely provide external support (“gedoogsteun”) without holding ministerial positions will not qualify. This market may resolve once the first government is officially announced and sworn in by the monarch, with ministers appointed under "non-caretaker circumstances." If no government is formed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if another election is called without a government being formed this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcements from the governing coalition; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪些政党将成为下一届荷兰政府的一部分?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "CDA" at 100%, followed by "VVD" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪些政党将成为下一届荷兰政府的一部分?" has generated $875.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪些政党将成为下一届荷兰政府的一部分?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪些政党将成为下一届荷兰政府的一部分?" is "CDA" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "VVD" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪些政党将成为下一届荷兰政府的一部分?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.