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哪部电影将在第99届奥斯卡颁奖典礼上获得最多的奥斯卡提名?

Market icon

哪部电影将在第99届奥斯卡颁奖典礼上获得最多的奥斯卡提名?

奥德赛 53%

沙丘:弥赛亚 20%

揭露日 12%

海梅计划 7.6%

Polymarket
NEW

奥德赛 53%

沙丘:弥赛亚 20%

揭露日 12%

海梅计划 7.6%

Polymarket
NEW

奥德赛

$2,631 交易量

53%

沙丘:弥赛亚

$0 交易量

20%

揭露日

$1,836 交易量

12%

海梅计划

$0 交易量

13%

呼啸山庄

$0 交易量

2%

新娘!

$930 交易量

1%

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey as the clear frontrunner to secure the most nominations at the 99th Academy Awards, with market-implied odds at 52.5%, propelled by Nolan's post-Oppenheimer technical sweep pedigree, star-studded cast including Matt Damon and Zendaya, and massive hype from its December teaser garnering 15 million views. Dune: Messiah trails at 19.5% on Denis Villeneuve's franchise momentum from prior visual effects triumphs, while Project Hail Mary's explosive recent box office debut and Ryan Gosling's buzzworthy lead performance have boosted it to 13.5%. Steven Spielberg's Disclosure Day trailer drop on March 12 lifted its odds to 11.5%, but Wuthering Heights and The Bride! linger below 2% amid polarized early reception. Fall film festival precursors and guild nominations will be pivotal momentum indicators.

Trader consensus positions Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey as the clear frontrunner to secure the most nominations at the 99th Academy Awards, with market-implied odds at 52.5%, propelled by Nolan's post-Oppenheimer technical sweep pedigree, star-studded cast including Matt Damon and Zendaya, and massive hype from its December teaser garnering 15 million views. Dune: Messiah trails at 19.5% on Denis Villeneuve's franchise momentum from prior visual effects triumphs, while Project Hail Mary's explosive recent box office debut and Ryan Gosling's buzzworthy lead performance have boosted it to 13.5%. Steven Spielberg's Disclosure Day trailer drop on March 12 lifted its odds to 11.5%, but Wuthering Heights and The Bride! linger below 2% amid polarized early reception. Fall film festival precursors and guild nominations will be pivotal momentum indicators.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey as the clear frontrunner to secure the most nominations at the 99th Academy Awards, with market-implied odds at 52.5%, propelled by Nolan's post-Oppenheimer technical sweep pedigree, star-studded cast including Matt Damon and Zendaya, and massive hype from its December teaser garnering 15 million views. Dune: Messiah trails at 19.5% on Denis Villeneuve's franchise momentum from prior visual effects triumphs, while Project Hail Mary's explosive recent box office debut and Ryan Gosling's buzzworthy lead performance have boosted it to 13.5%. Steven Spielberg's Disclosure Day trailer drop on March 12 lifted its odds to 11.5%, but Wuthering Heights and The Bride! linger below 2% amid polarized early reception. Fall film festival precursors and guild nominations will be pivotal momentum indicators.

Trader consensus positions Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey as the clear frontrunner to secure the most nominations at the 99th Academy Awards, with market-implied odds at 52.5%, propelled by Nolan's post-Oppenheimer technical sweep pedigree, star-studded cast including Matt Damon and Zendaya, and massive hype from its December teaser garnering 15 million views. Dune: Messiah trails at 19.5% on Denis Villeneuve's franchise momentum from prior visual effects triumphs, while Project Hail Mary's explosive recent box office debut and Ryan Gosling's buzzworthy lead performance have boosted it to 13.5%. Steven Spielberg's Disclosure Day trailer drop on March 12 lifted its odds to 11.5%, but Wuthering Heights and The Bride! linger below 2% amid polarized early reception. Fall film festival precursors and guild nominations will be pivotal momentum indicators.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"哪部电影将在第99届奥斯卡颁奖典礼上获得最多的奥斯卡提名?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"奥德赛",概率为 53%,其次是"沙丘:弥赛亚",概率为 20%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 53¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 53%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"哪部电影将在第99届奥斯卡颁奖典礼上获得最多的奥斯卡提名?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Feb 2, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"哪部电影将在第99届奥斯卡颁奖典礼上获得最多的奥斯卡提名?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哪部电影将在第99届奥斯卡颁奖典礼上获得最多的奥斯卡提名?"的当前领先者是"奥德赛",概率为 53%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 53%。紧随其后的结果是"沙丘:弥赛亚",概率为 20%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哪部电影将在第99届奥斯卡颁奖典礼上获得最多的奥斯卡提名?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。