US and Israel continue joint airstrikes against Iran's nuclear sites, ballistic missile facilities, and IRGC leadership into day 32 of operations "Roaring Lion" and "Epic Fury," with intense attacks on Isfahan producing massive fires as of March 31. Iran has retaliated via missile barrages on Israel, drone strikes on US bases in Saudi Arabia and Bahrain, and an assault on a Kuwaiti oil tanker, drawing in regional allies. Tehran rejected US ceasefire demands, while President Trump weighs adding 10,000 troops amid proxy escalations by Houthis. Traders monitor Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and UAE for retaliatory military action by April 30, alongside potential NATO responses to Iranian missiles overflying Turkey, as diplomatic talks stall.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$499,606 交易量
2026-04-30
Saudi Arabia
23%
UAE
21%
Kuwait
7%
Any E.U. Country
7%
Bahrain
6%
Turkey
5%
Jordan
5%
Oman
4%
Qatar
4%
France
4%
UK
4%
Germany
2%
Canada
1%
$499,606 交易量
Saudi Arabia
$90,367 交易量
23%
UAE
$47,393 交易量
21%
Kuwait
$1,416 交易量
7%
Any E.U. Country
$6,280 交易量
7%
Bahrain
$1,303 交易量
6%
Turkey
$16,645 交易量
5%
Jordan
$1,093 交易量
5%
Oman
$400 交易量
4%
Qatar
$749 交易量
4%
France
$149,033 交易量
4%
UK
$104,626 交易量
4%
Germany
$80,301 交易量
2%
Canada
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israel continue joint airstrikes against Iran's nuclear sites, ballistic missile facilities, and IRGC leadership into day 32 of operations "Roaring Lion" and "Epic Fury," with intense attacks on Isfahan producing massive fires as of March 31. Iran has retaliated via missile barrages on Israel, drone strikes on US bases in Saudi Arabia and Bahrain, and an assault on a Kuwaiti oil tanker, drawing in regional allies. Tehran rejected US ceasefire demands, while President Trump weighs adding 10,000 troops amid proxy escalations by Houthis. Traders monitor Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and UAE for retaliatory military action by April 30, alongside potential NATO responses to Iranian missiles overflying Turkey, as diplomatic talks stall.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
交易量
$499,606结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israel continue joint airstrikes against Iran's nuclear sites, ballistic missile facilities, and IRGC leadership into day 32 of operations "Roaring Lion" and "Epic Fury," with intense attacks on Isfahan producing massive fires as of March 31. Iran has retaliated via missile barrages on Israel, drone strikes on US bases in Saudi Arabia and Bahrain, and an assault on a Kuwaiti oil tanker, drawing in regional allies. Tehran rejected US ceasefire demands, while President Trump weighs adding 10,000 troops amid proxy escalations by Houthis. Traders monitor Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and UAE for retaliatory military action by April 30, alongside potential NATO responses to Iranian missiles overflying Turkey, as diplomatic talks stall.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$499,606结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israel continue joint airstrikes against Iran's nuclear sites, ballistic missile facilities, and IRGC leadership into day 32 of operations "Roaring Lion" and "Epic Fury," with intense attacks on Isfahan producing massive fires as of March 31. Iran has retaliated via missile barrages on Israel, drone strikes on US bases in Saudi Arabia and Bahrain, and an assault on a Kuwaiti oil tanker, drawing in regional allies. Tehran rejected US ceasefire demands, while President Trump weighs adding 10,000 troops amid proxy escalations by Houthis. Traders monitor Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and UAE for retaliatory military action by April 30, alongside potential NATO responses to Iranian missiles overflying Turkey, as diplomatic talks stall.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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