US and Israeli forces launched coordinated airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, targeting missile production facilities, air defenses, nuclear sites like Natanz, and IRGC leadership, with over 13,000 strikes completed by late March. Recent developments include March 30 attacks on 170 sites, including Parchin and Shiraz missile bases, severely degrading Iran's ballistic missile and drone capabilities. No other countries have conducted confirmed offensive actions inside Iran, though UK bases support US operations, and GCC states like UAE and Saudi Arabia intercept Iranian projectiles defensively. Traders weigh ongoing degradation against Iran's Strait of Hormuz blockade and recruitment for potential ground defense, with IDF nearing completion of priority targets before April 30 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$610,683 交易量
2026-04-30
UAE
15%
Saudi Arabia
14%
Bahrain
5%
Jordan
5%
Turkey
4%
Qatar
4%
Oman
4%
Any E.U. Country
4%
UK
3%
Kuwait
3%
France
2%
Germany
1%
Canada
1%
$610,683 交易量
UAE
$121,164 交易量
15%
Saudi Arabia
$106,518 交易量
14%
Bahrain
$6,361 交易量
5%
Jordan
$1,226 交易量
5%
Turkey
$17,402 交易量
4%
Qatar
$889 交易量
4%
Oman
$412 交易量
4%
Any E.U. Country
$8,871 交易量
4%
UK
$111,117 交易量
3%
Kuwait
$2,541 交易量
3%
France
$150,653 交易量
2%
Germany
$81,695 交易量
1%
Canada
$2,271 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces launched coordinated airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, targeting missile production facilities, air defenses, nuclear sites like Natanz, and IRGC leadership, with over 13,000 strikes completed by late March. Recent developments include March 30 attacks on 170 sites, including Parchin and Shiraz missile bases, severely degrading Iran's ballistic missile and drone capabilities. No other countries have conducted confirmed offensive actions inside Iran, though UK bases support US operations, and GCC states like UAE and Saudi Arabia intercept Iranian projectiles defensively. Traders weigh ongoing degradation against Iran's Strait of Hormuz blockade and recruitment for potential ground defense, with IDF nearing completion of priority targets before April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
交易量
$610,683结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces launched coordinated airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, targeting missile production facilities, air defenses, nuclear sites like Natanz, and IRGC leadership, with over 13,000 strikes completed by late March. Recent developments include March 30 attacks on 170 sites, including Parchin and Shiraz missile bases, severely degrading Iran's ballistic missile and drone capabilities. No other countries have conducted confirmed offensive actions inside Iran, though UK bases support US operations, and GCC states like UAE and Saudi Arabia intercept Iranian projectiles defensively. Traders weigh ongoing degradation against Iran's Strait of Hormuz blockade and recruitment for potential ground defense, with IDF nearing completion of priority targets before April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$610,683结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israeli forces launched coordinated airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, targeting missile production facilities, air defenses, nuclear sites like Natanz, and IRGC leadership, with over 13,000 strikes completed by late March. Recent developments include March 30 attacks on 170 sites, including Parchin and Shiraz missile bases, severely degrading Iran's ballistic missile and drone capabilities. No other countries have conducted confirmed offensive actions inside Iran, though UK bases support US operations, and GCC states like UAE and Saudi Arabia intercept Iranian projectiles defensively. Traders weigh ongoing degradation against Iran's Strait of Hormuz blockade and recruitment for potential ground defense, with IDF nearing completion of priority targets before April 30 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题