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哪些候选人将晋级巴西总统决赛?

Market icon

哪些候选人将晋级巴西总统决赛?

$118,209 交易量

Oct 4, 2026
Polymarket

$118,209 交易量

Polymarket

弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗

$0 交易量

85%

路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦

$80,873 交易量

83%

塔尔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯

$37,336 交易量

10%

费尔南多·阿达

$0 交易量

9%

米歇尔·博索纳罗

$0 交易量

6%

雅伊尔·博索纳罗

$0 交易量

3%

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the president is decided in the first round of the election or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$118,209
结束日期
Oct 4, 2026
市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 6:42 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪些候选人将晋级巴西总统决赛?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗" at 85%, followed by "路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦" at 83%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪些候选人将晋级巴西总统决赛?" has generated $118.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪些候选人将晋级巴西总统决赛?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪些候选人将晋级巴西总统决赛?" is "弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦" at 83%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪些候选人将晋级巴西总统决赛?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.