Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a >$200 million 5-day opening for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie at 34% implied probability, fueled by surging presales reported in the past week and upward tracking revisions from BoxOffice Pro to $185–200 million, surpassing early estimates. This bullish sentiment stems from the final trailer's March 9 release sparking massive family buzz, Fandango bundle promotions, and Easter holiday timing aligning with its April 1 Wednesday debut, echoing the original Super Mario Bros. Movie's $204 million 5-day haul. However, the wide-open field reflects tracker splits—Deadline at $160 million+ and BoxOfficeTheory nearer $170 million—citing softer sequel novelty, with walkups, imminent reviews, and minimal competition as key swing factors ahead of showtimes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office
"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office
>200m 34%
190-200m 16.0%
170-180m 15.1%
180-190m 14.2%
$246,925 交易量
$246,925 交易量
Apr 6, 2026
<160m
8%
160-170m
13%
170-180m
15%
180-190m
14%
190-200m
16%
>200m
34%
>200m 34%
190-200m 16.0%
170-180m 15.1%
180-190m 14.2%
$246,925 交易量
$246,925 交易量
Apr 6, 2026
<160m
$18,318 交易量
8%
160-170m
$18,839 交易量
13%
170-180m
$17,294 交易量
15%
180-190m
$17,203 交易量
14%
190-200m
$16,934 交易量
16%
>200m
$158,525 交易量
34%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a >$200 million 5-day opening for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie at 34% implied probability, fueled by surging presales reported in the past week and upward tracking revisions from BoxOffice Pro to $185–200 million, surpassing early estimates. This bullish sentiment stems from the final trailer's March 9 release sparking massive family buzz, Fandango bundle promotions, and Easter holiday timing aligning with its April 1 Wednesday debut, echoing the original Super Mario Bros. Movie's $204 million 5-day haul. However, the wide-open field reflects tracker splits—Deadline at $160 million+ and BoxOfficeTheory nearer $170 million—citing softer sequel novelty, with walkups, imminent reviews, and minimal competition as key swing factors ahead of showtimes.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Mar 16, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
交易量
$246,925结束日期
Apr 6, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a >$200 million 5-day opening for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie at 34% implied probability, fueled by surging presales reported in the past week and upward tracking revisions from BoxOffice Pro to $185–200 million, surpassing early estimates. This bullish sentiment stems from the final trailer's March 9 release sparking massive family buzz, Fandango bundle promotions, and Easter holiday timing aligning with its April 1 Wednesday debut, echoing the original Super Mario Bros. Movie's $204 million 5-day haul. However, the wide-open field reflects tracker splits—Deadline at $160 million+ and BoxOfficeTheory nearer $170 million—citing softer sequel novelty, with walkups, imminent reviews, and minimal competition as key swing factors ahead of showtimes.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$246,925结束日期
Apr 6, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a >$200 million 5-day opening for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie at 34% implied probability, fueled by surging presales reported in the past week and upward tracking revisions from BoxOffice Pro to $185–200 million, surpassing early estimates. This bullish sentiment stems from the final trailer's March 9 release sparking massive family buzz, Fandango bundle promotions, and Easter holiday timing aligning with its April 1 Wednesday debut, echoing the original Super Mario Bros. Movie's $204 million 5-day haul. However, the wide-open field reflects tracker splits—Deadline at $160 million+ and BoxOfficeTheory nearer $170 million—citing softer sequel novelty, with walkups, imminent reviews, and minimal competition as key swing factors ahead of showtimes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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