Official National Weather Service measurements at New York City's Central Park observatory confirm total March 2026 precipitation at 3.84 inches, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 3-4 inch outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This below-average total—compared to the 1991-2020 climatological norm of 4.3 inches—stemmed from intermittent light rain and mist events, including a peak of 1.39 inches on March 4, light snow early in the month, and scattered showers through late March, without major frontal storms or nor'easters delivering heavier accumulations. Steering patterns from a persistent upper-level ridge limited moisture influx. Realistic challenges, though unlikely post-resolution, could involve rare NOAA data audits uncovering gauge errors or liquid-equivalent adjustments from minor snowmelt.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3-4英寸 100.0%
少于2英寸 <1%
2-3英寸 <1%
4-5英寸 <1%
$229,537 交易量
$229,537 交易量
2026-03-31
少于2英寸
否
2-3英寸
否
3-4英寸
是
4-5英寸
否
5-6英寸
否
>6"
否
3-4英寸 100.0%
少于2英寸 <1%
2-3英寸 <1%
4-5英寸 <1%
$229,537 交易量
$229,537 交易量
2026-03-31
少于2英寸
$40,643 交易量
否
2-3英寸
$13,408 交易量
否
3-4英寸
$68,410 交易量
是
4-5英寸
$31,870 交易量
否
5-6英寸
$19,322 交易量
否
>6"
$55,885 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service measurements at New York City's Central Park observatory confirm total March 2026 precipitation at 3.84 inches, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 3-4 inch outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This below-average total—compared to the 1991-2020 climatological norm of 4.3 inches—stemmed from intermittent light rain and mist events, including a peak of 1.39 inches on March 4, light snow early in the month, and scattered showers through late March, without major frontal storms or nor'easters delivering heavier accumulations. Steering patterns from a persistent upper-level ridge limited moisture influx. Realistic challenges, though unlikely post-resolution, could involve rare NOAA data audits uncovering gauge errors or liquid-equivalent adjustments from minor snowmelt.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Feb 26, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
交易量
$229,537结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service measurements at New York City's Central Park observatory confirm total March 2026 precipitation at 3.84 inches, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 3-4 inch outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This below-average total—compared to the 1991-2020 climatological norm of 4.3 inches—stemmed from intermittent light rain and mist events, including a peak of 1.39 inches on March 4, light snow early in the month, and scattered showers through late March, without major frontal storms or nor'easters delivering heavier accumulations. Steering patterns from a persistent upper-level ridge limited moisture influx. Realistic challenges, though unlikely post-resolution, could involve rare NOAA data audits uncovering gauge errors or liquid-equivalent adjustments from minor snowmelt.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$229,537结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official National Weather Service measurements at New York City's Central Park observatory confirm total March 2026 precipitation at 3.84 inches, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 3-4 inch outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This below-average total—compared to the 1991-2020 climatological norm of 4.3 inches—stemmed from intermittent light rain and mist events, including a peak of 1.39 inches on March 4, light snow early in the month, and scattered showers through late March, without major frontal storms or nor'easters delivering heavier accumulations. Steering patterns from a persistent upper-level ridge limited moisture influx. Realistic challenges, though unlikely post-resolution, could involve rare NOAA data audits uncovering gauge errors or liquid-equivalent adjustments from minor snowmelt.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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