Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 71.5% for May, driven by the lack of progress toward any market triggers—no US-Iran permanent peace deal despite recent ceasefire talks, no Iranian leadership change amid domestic uprisings, WTI crude oil stable near $95 well below $150, no US military action against Cuba, no alien confirmation by US officials, and no Russian invasion of a NATO country. April's de-escalation signals in US-Iran tensions and steady energy markets have reinforced stability, with no escalatory diplomatic announcements or military mobilizations in the past week to shift odds. Upcoming summits or oil shocks could alter this, but current stasis favors the status quo through May 31.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于什么也没有
最新
$10,841 交易量
最新
$10,841 交易量
2026-05-31
什么也没有
最新
$10,841 交易量
最新
$10,841 交易量
2026-05-31
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 71.5% for May, driven by the lack of progress toward any market triggers—no US-Iran permanent peace deal despite recent ceasefire talks, no Iranian leadership change amid domestic uprisings, WTI crude oil stable near $95 well below $150, no US military action against Cuba, no alien confirmation by US officials, and no Russian invasion of a NATO country. April's de-escalation signals in US-Iran tensions and steady energy markets have reinforced stability, with no escalatory diplomatic announcements or military mobilizations in the past week to shift odds. Upcoming summits or oil shocks could alter this, but current stasis favors the status quo through May 31.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
交易量
$10,841结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 71.5% for May, driven by the lack of progress toward any market triggers—no US-Iran permanent peace deal despite recent ceasefire talks, no Iranian leadership change amid domestic uprisings, WTI crude oil stable near $95 well below $150, no US military action against Cuba, no alien confirmation by US officials, and no Russian invasion of a NATO country. April's de-escalation signals in US-Iran tensions and steady energy markets have reinforced stability, with no escalatory diplomatic announcements or military mobilizations in the past week to shift odds. Upcoming summits or oil shocks could alter this, but current stasis favors the status quo through May 31.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
交易量
$10,841结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 71.5% for May, driven by the lack of progress toward any market triggers—no US-Iran permanent peace deal despite recent ceasefire talks, no Iranian leadership change amid domestic uprisings, WTI crude oil stable near $95 well below $150, no US military action against Cuba, no alien confirmation by US officials, and no Russian invasion of a NATO country. April's de-escalation signals in US-Iran tensions and steady energy markets have reinforced stability, with no escalatory diplomatic announcements or military mobilizations in the past week to shift odds. Upcoming summits or oil shocks could alter this, but current stasis favors the status quo through May 31.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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