Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects overwhelming skepticism for MH370 underwater wreckage discovery by June 30, with "No" commanding a 94.8% implied probability after Ocean Infinity's latest seabed expedition concluded January 23, 2026—announced March 8—having scanned over 7,500 square kilometers in the southern Indian Ocean without confirmed findings. This fifth major search since 2014 underscores the enduring challenges of the 12-year mystery: vast uncharted depths, prior debris mismatches, and no fresh leads despite advanced autonomous vehicles. Families push for extension under the "no find, no fee" deal, but no resumption is underway. An upset would require swift Malaysian approval of a new high-tech hunt yielding rapid breakthroughs, though historical patterns and seasonal weather constraints make that improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于在2026年6月30日之前发现MH370水下残骸？
在2026年6月30日之前发现MH370水下残骸？
是
$86,994 交易量
$86,994 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
是
$86,994 交易量
$86,994 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects overwhelming skepticism for MH370 underwater wreckage discovery by June 30, with "No" commanding a 94.8% implied probability after Ocean Infinity's latest seabed expedition concluded January 23, 2026—announced March 8—having scanned over 7,500 square kilometers in the southern Indian Ocean without confirmed findings. This fifth major search since 2014 underscores the enduring challenges of the 12-year mystery: vast uncharted depths, prior debris mismatches, and no fresh leads despite advanced autonomous vehicles. Families push for extension under the "no find, no fee" deal, but no resumption is underway. An upset would require swift Malaysian approval of a new high-tech hunt yielding rapid breakthroughs, though historical patterns and seasonal weather constraints make that improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
交易量
$86,994结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects overwhelming skepticism for MH370 underwater wreckage discovery by June 30, with "No" commanding a 94.8% implied probability after Ocean Infinity's latest seabed expedition concluded January 23, 2026—announced March 8—having scanned over 7,500 square kilometers in the southern Indian Ocean without confirmed findings. This fifth major search since 2014 underscores the enduring challenges of the 12-year mystery: vast uncharted depths, prior debris mismatches, and no fresh leads despite advanced autonomous vehicles. Families push for extension under the "no find, no fee" deal, but no resumption is underway. An upset would require swift Malaysian approval of a new high-tech hunt yielding rapid breakthroughs, though historical patterns and seasonal weather constraints make that improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$86,994结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects overwhelming skepticism for MH370 underwater wreckage discovery by June 30, with "No" commanding a 94.8% implied probability after Ocean Infinity's latest seabed expedition concluded January 23, 2026—announced March 8—having scanned over 7,500 square kilometers in the southern Indian Ocean without confirmed findings. This fifth major search since 2014 underscores the enduring challenges of the 12-year mystery: vast uncharted depths, prior debris mismatches, and no fresh leads despite advanced autonomous vehicles. Families push for extension under the "no find, no fee" deal, but no resumption is underway. An upset would require swift Malaysian approval of a new high-tech hunt yielding rapid breakthroughs, though historical patterns and seasonal weather constraints make that improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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