Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects overwhelming skepticism at 94.8% implied probability for "No" on MH370 underwater wreckage discovery by June 30, propelled by Ocean Infinity's March 2026 announcement that their 28-day seabed scan—covering 7,571 square kilometers in the southern Indian Ocean through January—yielded zero findings, capping aviation history's most exhaustive 12-year quest. This latest "no find, no fee" flop, despite advanced autonomous tech, reinforces the enduring cultural enigma's resistance to resolution, with no successor searches approved amid family appeals. A dramatic upset could hinge on a surprise tech breakthrough or verified debris surge, but with three months left and precedent of barren hunts, traders bet against a finale twist.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于在2026年6月30日之前发现MH370水下残骸?
在2026年6月30日之前发现MH370水下残骸?
是
$86,994 交易量
$86,994 交易量
是
$86,994 交易量
$86,994 交易量
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects overwhelming skepticism at 94.8% implied probability for "No" on MH370 underwater wreckage discovery by June 30, propelled by Ocean Infinity's March 2026 announcement that their 28-day seabed scan—covering 7,571 square kilometers in the southern Indian Ocean through January—yielded zero findings, capping aviation history's most exhaustive 12-year quest. This latest "no find, no fee" flop, despite advanced autonomous tech, reinforces the enduring cultural enigma's resistance to resolution, with no successor searches approved amid family appeals. A dramatic upset could hinge on a surprise tech breakthrough or verified debris surge, but with three months left and precedent of barren hunts, traders bet against a finale twist.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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