Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67% implied probability for a SpaceX IPO in June, propelled by the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC reported April 2, 2026, explicitly targeting a mid-2026 debut that could raise up to $75 billion at a $1.5–$1.75 trillion valuation—nearly double its latest private round. This surge follows last week's reports of an imminent filing that rallied space sector stocks, underscoring Starlink's projected $24 billion 2026 revenue as a key valuation driver amid robust launch cadence and Starship progress. May's 11% odds reflect prior speculation, while later months trail due to standard SEC review timelines of 4–8 weeks; no-IPO-before-2027 at 7% accounts for potential delays from market volatility or regulatory hurdles, with pricing and roadshow details expected weeks prior.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于六月 67%
5月 10.5%
九月 7.2%
2027年前无首次公开募股 6.6%
$162,121 交易量
$162,121 交易量
四月
1%
5月
10%
六月
67%
7月
5%
八月
5%
九月
7%
十月
2%
十一月
1%
12月
1%
2027年前无首次公开募股
7%
六月 67%
5月 10.5%
九月 7.2%
2027年前无首次公开募股 6.6%
$162,121 交易量
$162,121 交易量
四月
1%
5月
10%
六月
67%
7月
5%
八月
5%
九月
7%
十月
2%
十一月
1%
12月
1%
2027年前无首次公开募股
7%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
市场开放时间: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67% implied probability for a SpaceX IPO in June, propelled by the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC reported April 2, 2026, explicitly targeting a mid-2026 debut that could raise up to $75 billion at a $1.5–$1.75 trillion valuation—nearly double its latest private round. This surge follows last week's reports of an imminent filing that rallied space sector stocks, underscoring Starlink's projected $24 billion 2026 revenue as a key valuation driver amid robust launch cadence and Starship progress. May's 11% odds reflect prior speculation, while later months trail due to standard SEC review timelines of 4–8 weeks; no-IPO-before-2027 at 7% accounts for potential delays from market volatility or regulatory hurdles, with pricing and roadshow details expected weeks prior.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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