Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65.5% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering in June 2026, propelled by late-March reports from The Information and Reuters indicating the company aims to file its IPO prospectus imminently—potentially this week—with a targeted mid-June listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise. Elon Musk's strategy to allocate up to 30% of shares to retail investors has fueled optimism, lifting space sector stocks amid heightened trading volume. Earlier December 2025 confirmation of 2026 plans provides backdrop, though standard SEC review timelines (roughly eight weeks post-confidential filing) introduce uncertainty, positioning August (10%) and September (9.6%) as delay contingencies while "No IPO before 2027" lingers at 6% amid execution risks. April investor briefings loom as the next catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于六月 64%
八月 9.7%
九月 8.9%
十月 8.5%
$154,863 交易量
$154,863 交易量
三月
<1%
四月
4%
5月
5%
六月
64%
7月
5%
八月
10%
九月
9%
十月
9%
十一月
1%
12月
1%
2027年前无首次公开募股
6%
六月 64%
八月 9.7%
九月 8.9%
十月 8.5%
$154,863 交易量
$154,863 交易量
三月
<1%
四月
4%
5月
5%
六月
64%
7月
5%
八月
10%
九月
9%
十月
9%
十一月
1%
12月
1%
2027年前无首次公开募股
6%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
市场开放时间: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65.5% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering in June 2026, propelled by late-March reports from The Information and Reuters indicating the company aims to file its IPO prospectus imminently—potentially this week—with a targeted mid-June listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise. Elon Musk's strategy to allocate up to 30% of shares to retail investors has fueled optimism, lifting space sector stocks amid heightened trading volume. Earlier December 2025 confirmation of 2026 plans provides backdrop, though standard SEC review timelines (roughly eight weeks post-confidential filing) introduce uncertainty, positioning August (10%) and September (9.6%) as delay contingencies while "No IPO before 2027" lingers at 6% amid execution risks. April investor briefings loom as the next catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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