Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker secured his party's nomination uncontested in the March 17, 2026, primary, setting up a rematch with Republican Darren Bailey, who won his primary with 53.5% against a divided field. This outcome has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democrat victory, reflecting Pritzker's strong incumbency advantage—highlighted by his double-digit wins in 2018 and 2022—Illinois' consistent Democratic dominance driven by Chicago-area voters, and sparse polling like a November 2025 Victory Research survey showing Pritzker up 54%-34%. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and others deem it Safe Democratic. While scenarios like a major Pritzker scandal, health event, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave could shift odds, historical precedents favor the incumbent in this blue state ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$0 交易量
94%
共和党
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker secured his party's nomination uncontested in the March 17, 2026, primary, setting up a rematch with Republican Darren Bailey, who won his primary with 53.5% against a divided field. This outcome has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democrat victory, reflecting Pritzker's strong incumbency advantage—highlighted by his double-digit wins in 2018 and 2022—Illinois' consistent Democratic dominance driven by Chicago-area voters, and sparse polling like a November 2025 Victory Research survey showing Pritzker up 54%-34%. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and others deem it Safe Democratic. While scenarios like a major Pritzker scandal, health event, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave could shift odds, historical precedents favor the incumbent in this blue state ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker secured his party's nomination uncontested in the March 17, 2026, primary, setting up a rematch with Republican Darren Bailey, who won his primary with 53.5% against a divided field. This outcome has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democrat victory, reflecting Pritzker's strong incumbency advantage—highlighted by his double-digit wins in 2018 and 2022—Illinois' consistent Democratic dominance driven by Chicago-area voters, and sparse polling like a November 2025 Victory Research survey showing Pritzker up 54%-34%. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and others deem it Safe Democratic. While scenarios like a major Pritzker scandal, health event, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave could shift odds, historical precedents favor the incumbent in this blue state ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker secured his party's nomination uncontested in the March 17, 2026, primary, setting up a rematch with Republican Darren Bailey, who won his primary with 53.5% against a divided field. This outcome has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democrat victory, reflecting Pritzker's strong incumbency advantage—highlighted by his double-digit wins in 2018 and 2022—Illinois' consistent Democratic dominance driven by Chicago-area voters, and sparse polling like a November 2025 Victory Research survey showing Pritzker up 54%-34%. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and others deem it Safe Democratic. While scenarios like a major Pritzker scandal, health event, or overwhelming national Republican midterm wave could shift odds, historical precedents favor the incumbent in this blue state ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题