Market icon

How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?

Market icon

How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?

$269,289 交易量

2025-11-03
Polymarket

$269,289 交易量

Polymarket

≥20% by April 30

$19,487 交易量

No

≥20% by June 30

$113,224 交易量

No

≥30% by June 30

$10,781 交易量

No

≥85% by November 3

$125,797 交易量

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 20% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 by April 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by ARC Prize will qualify. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org). This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 20% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 by June 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by ARC Prize will qualify. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org). This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 30% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 by June 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by ARC Prize will qualify. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org). This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 by November 3, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by ARC Prize will qualify. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 20% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 by April 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only scores publicly confirmed by ARC Prize will qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).
交易量
$269,289
结束日期
2025-11-03
市场开放时间
Apr 11, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 20% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 by April 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by ARC Prize will qualify. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 20% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 by April 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by ARC Prize will qualify. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org). This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 20% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 by June 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by ARC Prize will qualify. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org). This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 30% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 by June 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by ARC Prize will qualify. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org). This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 by November 3, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by ARC Prize will qualify. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 20% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 by April 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only scores publicly confirmed by ARC Prize will qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).
交易量
$269,289
结束日期
2025-11-03
市场开放时间
Apr 11, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 20% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 by April 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by ARC Prize will qualify. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"≥20% by April 30",概率为 0%,其次是"≥20% by June 30",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 0¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 0%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?"已产生 $269.3K 的总交易量(自Apr 11, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?"的当前领先者是"≥20% by April 30",仅有 0%,"≥20% by June 30"紧随其后为 0%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。