Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 19°C or higher in Wuhan on March 24, driven by ensemble weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and GFS projecting daytime peaks of 22-25°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and mild southerly flows. Official observations from nearby stations confirm recent spring-like warming, with March historical maxima averaging 16-18°C but trending upward amid broader East Asian heat anomalies. This positioning aligns with low forecast uncertainty at short lead times, as verified by China Meteorological Administration updates. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front intrusion or localized measurement discrepancies at Hankou Airport, though probabilities remain below 1% per model spreads.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月24日武汉气温最高?
3月24日武汉气温最高?
19°C或以上 100.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
9°C或以下
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C或以上
是
19°C或以上 100.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
9°C或以下
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C或以上
是
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 19°C or higher in Wuhan on March 24, driven by ensemble weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and GFS projecting daytime peaks of 22-25°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and mild southerly flows. Official observations from nearby stations confirm recent spring-like warming, with March historical maxima averaging 16-18°C but trending upward amid broader East Asian heat anomalies. This positioning aligns with low forecast uncertainty at short lead times, as verified by China Meteorological Administration updates. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front intrusion or localized measurement discrepancies at Hankou Airport, though probabilities remain below 1% per model spreads.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题