Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast models project a daytime high of around 20°C for the Seoul region, including the resolving Incheon International Airport station, under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 17°C or higher reflects strong model agreement on warm air advection from the south, enhanced by recent high-pressure ridging over the Korean Peninsula, pushing temperatures well above the early April climatological average of 15–17°C. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold frontal passage or persistent overcast skies sharply curtailing solar insolation, though current satellite observations and ensemble forecasts show low likelihood; hourly updates from KMA stations will confirm through day's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on April 4?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 4?
16°C <1%
$396,811 交易量
$396,811 交易量
16°C
<1%
16°C <1%
$396,811 交易量
$396,811 交易量
16°C
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast models project a daytime high of around 20°C for the Seoul region, including the resolving Incheon International Airport station, under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 17°C or higher reflects strong model agreement on warm air advection from the south, enhanced by recent high-pressure ridging over the Korean Peninsula, pushing temperatures well above the early April climatological average of 15–17°C. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold frontal passage or persistent overcast skies sharply curtailing solar insolation, though current satellite observations and ensemble forecasts show low likelihood; hourly updates from KMA stations will confirm through day's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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