Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the spread in current ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Milan, with maximum temperatures on April 1 projected between 14°C and 19°C and a central tendency near 16-17°C, explaining the tight race among 15°C (27.5%), 16°C (23.0%), 17°C (19.5%), and leading 18°C (31.0%) outcomes. This uncertainty stems from competing atmospheric influences: a potential ridge over the western Mediterranean favoring warmer advection and highs near 18°C, versus transient northerly flows risking cooler 14-15°C readings amid spring's variable jet stream position. Historical normals at Milano Linate Airport average 16°C for early April, with no disruptive developments in the past week. Daily model updates from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will refine probabilities as the date approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on April 1?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 1?
18°C 27%
17°C 22%
16°C 21%
14°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
10°C or below
7%
11°C
3%
12°C
9%
13°C
5%
14°C
16%
15°C
9%
16°C
21%
17°C
22%
18°C
27%
19°C
10%
20°C or higher
9%
18°C 27%
17°C 22%
16°C 21%
14°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
10°C or below
$14 交易量
7%
11°C
$15 交易量
3%
12°C
$10 交易量
9%
13°C
$2 交易量
5%
14°C
$6 交易量
16%
15°C
$15 交易量
9%
16°C
$0 交易量
21%
17°C
$7 交易量
22%
18°C
$9 交易量
27%
19°C
$6 交易量
10%
20°C or higher
$13 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the spread in current ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Milan, with maximum temperatures on April 1 projected between 14°C and 19°C and a central tendency near 16-17°C, explaining the tight race among 15°C (27.5%), 16°C (23.0%), 17°C (19.5%), and leading 18°C (31.0%) outcomes. This uncertainty stems from competing atmospheric influences: a potential ridge over the western Mediterranean favoring warmer advection and highs near 18°C, versus transient northerly flows risking cooler 14-15°C readings amid spring's variable jet stream position. Historical normals at Milano Linate Airport average 16°C for early April, with no disruptive developments in the past week. Daily model updates from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will refine probabilities as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
交易量
$95结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the spread in current ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Milan, with maximum temperatures on April 1 projected between 14°C and 19°C and a central tendency near 16-17°C, explaining the tight race among 15°C (27.5%), 16°C (23.0%), 17°C (19.5%), and leading 18°C (31.0%) outcomes. This uncertainty stems from competing atmospheric influences: a potential ridge over the western Mediterranean favoring warmer advection and highs near 18°C, versus transient northerly flows risking cooler 14-15°C readings amid spring's variable jet stream position. Historical normals at Milano Linate Airport average 16°C for early April, with no disruptive developments in the past week. Daily model updates from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will refine probabilities as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$95结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the spread in current ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Milan, with maximum temperatures on April 1 projected between 14°C and 19°C and a central tendency near 16-17°C, explaining the tight race among 15°C (27.5%), 16°C (23.0%), 17°C (19.5%), and leading 18°C (31.0%) outcomes. This uncertainty stems from competing atmospheric influences: a potential ridge over the western Mediterranean favoring warmer advection and highs near 18°C, versus transient northerly flows risking cooler 14-15°C readings amid spring's variable jet stream position. Historical normals at Milano Linate Airport average 16°C for early April, with no disruptive developments in the past week. Daily model updates from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will refine probabilities as the date approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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