Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 18°C high temperature in Milan at 43.5% implied probability today at Milano Malpensa Airport, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from ARPA Lombardia and Aeronautica Militare showing mostly clear skies under a persistent anticyclonic ridge. Yesterday's observed maximum of 18°C reflects similar mild conditions with light northerly winds (7-10 km/h) and progressive daytime heating from morning lows near 7-9°C. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS exhibit tight clustering around 17-19°C, above the late-March climatological average of 13-15°C, though thin high clouds could cap peaks at 17°C or extra sunshine boost to 19°C. Hourly observations will refine this through afternoon; resolution hinges on official airport data by midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on March 30?
Highest temperature in Milan on March 30?
18°C 44%
17°C 25%
19°C 24%
16°C 7.0%
$10,516 交易量
$10,516 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
7%
17°C
25%
18°C
44%
19°C
24%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 44%
17°C 25%
19°C 24%
16°C 7.0%
$10,516 交易量
$10,516 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
7%
17°C
25%
18°C
44%
19°C
24%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 18°C high temperature in Milan at 43.5% implied probability today at Milano Malpensa Airport, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from ARPA Lombardia and Aeronautica Militare showing mostly clear skies under a persistent anticyclonic ridge. Yesterday's observed maximum of 18°C reflects similar mild conditions with light northerly winds (7-10 km/h) and progressive daytime heating from morning lows near 7-9°C. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS exhibit tight clustering around 17-19°C, above the late-March climatological average of 13-15°C, though thin high clouds could cap peaks at 17°C or extra sunshine boost to 19°C. Hourly observations will refine this through afternoon; resolution hinges on official airport data by midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题