Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model spreads for Dallas highs around 81-83°F on March 29, driven by post-cold front recovery under a building upper-level ridge, with the National Weather Service (NWS) and ensemble guidance converging on above-normal temperatures near 82°F after Friday's frontal passage cooled the region. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in GFS and ECMWF runs: slight differences in boundary-layer mixing from southerly winds (10-15 mph), dewpoint rebound to 55-60°F enabling stronger afternoon heating, and potential thin cirrus cloud cover capping solar insolation. Historical March analogs show rapid 20-30°F rebounds post-front in DFW, but exact bin resolution hinges on peak hourly readings at official stations; monitor NWS updates through midday March 28 for refinements amid low overall uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月29日达拉斯的最高温度?
3月29日达拉斯的最高温度?
82-83°F 38%
80-81°F 29%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 12%
$24,581 交易量
$24,581 交易量
73°F或以下
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
15%
86-87华氏度
3%
88-89华氏度
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F或更高
<1%
82-83°F 38%
80-81°F 29%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 12%
$24,581 交易量
$24,581 交易量
73°F或以下
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
15%
86-87华氏度
3%
88-89华氏度
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model spreads for Dallas highs around 81-83°F on March 29, driven by post-cold front recovery under a building upper-level ridge, with the National Weather Service (NWS) and ensemble guidance converging on above-normal temperatures near 82°F after Friday's frontal passage cooled the region. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in GFS and ECMWF runs: slight differences in boundary-layer mixing from southerly winds (10-15 mph), dewpoint rebound to 55-60°F enabling stronger afternoon heating, and potential thin cirrus cloud cover capping solar insolation. Historical March analogs show rapid 20-30°F rebounds post-front in DFW, but exact bin resolution hinges on peak hourly readings at official stations; monitor NWS updates through midday March 28 for refinements amid low overall uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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