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2026年票房最高的电影？

Market icon

2026年票房最高的电影？

Dec 31

Dec 31

蜘蛛侠：全新一天 44%

超级马里奥银河电影 30%

复仇者联盟：末日审判 16%

奥德赛 4.3%

Polymarket

$2,598,123 交易量

蜘蛛侠：全新一天 44%

超级马里奥银河电影 30%

复仇者联盟：末日审判 16%

奥德赛 4.3%

Polymarket

$2,598,123 交易量

蜘蛛侠：全新一天

$103,392 交易量

44%

超级马里奥银河电影

$95,333 交易量

30%

复仇者联盟：末日审判

$145,860 交易量

16%

奥德赛

$329,468 交易量

4%

玩具总动员5

$136,918 交易量

2%

星球大战：曼达洛人和格罗古

$104,818 交易量

2%

迈克尔

$557,209 交易量

1%

沙丘：弥赛亚

$192,300 交易量

1%

饥饿游戏：收获的黎明

$208,194 交易量

1%

呼啸山庄

$119,006 交易量

<1%

海尔·玛丽计划

$163,629 交易量

<1%

勇敢者游戏3

$69,879 交易量

<1%

魔法坏女巫：为善

$283,648 交易量

<1%

惊声尖叫7

$88,471 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day as the 2026 highest-grossing film at 43.5% implied probability, propelled by the explosive March 18 trailer debut that reignited Tom Holland-led MCU hype and positioned its July 31 summer slot for No Way Home-level legs exceeding $1.2 billion worldwide. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie trails at 29.5%, surging on scorching tracking for its April 3 opener—projected at $150-165 million domestic—leveraging the franchise's family appeal and prior $1.36 billion smash, though early-year timing risks frontloaded earnings. Avengers: Doomsday holds 15.5% amid December 18 holiday positioning and Endgame precedents, but MCU fatigue tempers expectations versus fresher animated and solo-hero draws; Mario's debut and Spider-Man reviews will be pivotal momentum swings.

Trader consensus favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day as the 2026 highest-grossing film at 43.5% implied probability, propelled by the explosive March 18 trailer debut that reignited Tom Holland-led MCU hype and positioned its July 31 summer slot for No Way Home-level legs exceeding $1.2 billion worldwide. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie trails at 29.5%, surging on scorching tracking for its April 3 opener—projected at $150-165 million domestic—leveraging the franchise's family appeal and prior $1.36 billion smash, though early-year timing risks frontloaded earnings. Avengers: Doomsday holds 15.5% amid December 18 holiday positioning and Endgame precedents, but MCU fatigue tempers expectations versus fresher animated and solo-hero draws; Mario's debut and Spider-Man reviews will be pivotal momentum swings.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day as the 2026 highest-grossing film at 43.5% implied probability, propelled by the explosive March 18 trailer debut that reignited Tom Holland-led MCU hype and positioned its July 31 summer slot for No Way Home-level legs exceeding $1.2 billion worldwide. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie trails at 29.5%, surging on scorching tracking for its April 3 opener—projected at $150-165 million domestic—leveraging the franchise's family appeal and prior $1.36 billion smash, though early-year timing risks frontloaded earnings. Avengers: Doomsday holds 15.5% amid December 18 holiday positioning and Endgame precedents, but MCU fatigue tempers expectations versus fresher animated and solo-hero draws; Mario's debut and Spider-Man reviews will be pivotal momentum swings.

Trader consensus favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day as the 2026 highest-grossing film at 43.5% implied probability, propelled by the explosive March 18 trailer debut that reignited Tom Holland-led MCU hype and positioned its July 31 summer slot for No Way Home-level legs exceeding $1.2 billion worldwide. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie trails at 29.5%, surging on scorching tracking for its April 3 opener—projected at $150-165 million domestic—leveraging the franchise's family appeal and prior $1.36 billion smash, though early-year timing risks frontloaded earnings. Avengers: Doomsday holds 15.5% amid December 18 holiday positioning and Endgame precedents, but MCU fatigue tempers expectations versus fresher animated and solo-hero draws; Mario's debut and Spider-Man reviews will be pivotal momentum swings.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年票房最高的电影？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 14 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"蜘蛛侠：全新一天"，概率为 44%，其次是"超级马里奥银河电影"，概率为 30%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 44¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 44%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2026年票房最高的电影？"已产生 $2.6 million 的总交易量（自Nov 12, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年票房最高的电影？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 14 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年票房最高的电影？"的当前领先者是"蜘蛛侠：全新一天"，概率为 44%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 44%。紧随其后的结果是"超级马里奥银河电影"，概率为 30%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年票房最高的电影？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。