Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested, with No Prison Time at 33.3% edging 20-30 years at 27.9%, reflecting uncertainty in his protracted #MeToo legal battles. A January judge's upholding of his 2025 New York criminal sexual act conviction—tied to a 2006 incident—bolsters longer-sentence bets alongside his standing 16-year California rape term, yet plea deal talks for the unresolved third-degree rape charge and his deteriorating health at age 74 fuel release scenarios. Jury selection starts April 14 for a third New York rape retrial, a pivotal catalyst that could stack sentences or prompt resolution amid appeals, with traders eyeing historical overturn patterns and compassionate release precedents as key swing factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
无监禁时间 33.3%
20-30年 27.9%
10-20年 20.0%
5-10年 9.3%
$802,028 交易量
$802,028 交易量
2025-12-31
无监禁时间
33%
少于5年
4%
5-10年
9%
10-20年
20%
20-30年
28%
30年以上
8%
无监禁时间 33.3%
20-30年 27.9%
10-20年 20.0%
5-10年 9.3%
$802,028 交易量
$802,028 交易量
2025-12-31
无监禁时间
$314,129 交易量
33%
少于5年
$83,462 交易量
4%
5-10年
$47,895 交易量
9%
10-20年
$133,933 交易量
20%
20-30年
$170,249 交易量
28%
30年以上
$52,361 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested, with No Prison Time at 33.3% edging 20-30 years at 27.9%, reflecting uncertainty in his protracted #MeToo legal battles. A January judge's upholding of his 2025 New York criminal sexual act conviction—tied to a 2006 incident—bolsters longer-sentence bets alongside his standing 16-year California rape term, yet plea deal talks for the unresolved third-degree rape charge and his deteriorating health at age 74 fuel release scenarios. Jury selection starts April 14 for a third New York rape retrial, a pivotal catalyst that could stack sentences or prompt resolution amid appeals, with traders eyeing historical overturn patterns and compassionate release precedents as key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
交易量
$802,028结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested, with No Prison Time at 33.3% edging 20-30 years at 27.9%, reflecting uncertainty in his protracted #MeToo legal battles. A January judge's upholding of his 2025 New York criminal sexual act conviction—tied to a 2006 incident—bolsters longer-sentence bets alongside his standing 16-year California rape term, yet plea deal talks for the unresolved third-degree rape charge and his deteriorating health at age 74 fuel release scenarios. Jury selection starts April 14 for a third New York rape retrial, a pivotal catalyst that could stack sentences or prompt resolution amid appeals, with traders eyeing historical overturn patterns and compassionate release precedents as key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$802,028结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested, with No Prison Time at 33.3% edging 20-30 years at 27.9%, reflecting uncertainty in his protracted #MeToo legal battles. A January judge's upholding of his 2025 New York criminal sexual act conviction—tied to a 2006 incident—bolsters longer-sentence bets alongside his standing 16-year California rape term, yet plea deal talks for the unresolved third-degree rape charge and his deteriorating health at age 74 fuel release scenarios. Jury selection starts April 14 for a third New York rape retrial, a pivotal catalyst that could stack sentences or prompt resolution amid appeals, with traders eyeing historical overturn patterns and compassionate release precedents as key swing factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题