Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's final prison term, with No Prison Time edging out at 29.3% amid his ongoing New York legal battles and deteriorating health at age 73. Recent catalysts include his March 10 Rikers Island interview detailing isolation, assaults by inmates, and failing health—"I'm dying here"—prompting leniency discussions, alongside a February legal team switch ahead of an April 14 retrial on a third-degree rape charge. The 2025 criminal sexual act conviction awaits sentencing (up to 25 years potential), while his 16-year California term stands amid appeals. Key differentiators: retrial verdict, compassionate release bids citing health, and concurrent sentencing resolutions could tip toward shorter or no additional time versus cumulative 20-30+ years.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
无监禁时间 29.3%
20-30年 21.5%
10-20年 21.3%
少于5年 9.3%
$684,120 交易量
$684,120 交易量
Dec 31, 2025
无监禁时间
29%
少于5年
9%
5-10年
8%
10-20年
21%
20-30年
22%
30年以上
7%
无监禁时间 29.3%
20-30年 21.5%
10-20年 21.3%
少于5年 9.3%
$684,120 交易量
$684,120 交易量
Dec 31, 2025
无监禁时间
$292,484 交易量
29%
少于5年
$49,087 交易量
9%
5-10年
$35,303 交易量
8%
10-20年
$121,018 交易量
21%
20-30年
$151,297 交易量
22%
30年以上
$34,931 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's final prison term, with No Prison Time edging out at 29.3% amid his ongoing New York legal battles and deteriorating health at age 73. Recent catalysts include his March 10 Rikers Island interview detailing isolation, assaults by inmates, and failing health—"I'm dying here"—prompting leniency discussions, alongside a February legal team switch ahead of an April 14 retrial on a third-degree rape charge. The 2025 criminal sexual act conviction awaits sentencing (up to 25 years potential), while his 16-year California term stands amid appeals. Key differentiators: retrial verdict, compassionate release bids citing health, and concurrent sentencing resolutions could tip toward shorter or no additional time versus cumulative 20-30+ years.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
交易量
$684,120结束日期
Dec 31, 2025市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's final prison term, with No Prison Time edging out at 29.3% amid his ongoing New York legal battles and deteriorating health at age 73. Recent catalysts include his March 10 Rikers Island interview detailing isolation, assaults by inmates, and failing health—"I'm dying here"—prompting leniency discussions, alongside a February legal team switch ahead of an April 14 retrial on a third-degree rape charge. The 2025 criminal sexual act conviction awaits sentencing (up to 25 years potential), while his 16-year California term stands amid appeals. Key differentiators: retrial verdict, compassionate release bids citing health, and concurrent sentencing resolutions could tip toward shorter or no additional time versus cumulative 20-30+ years.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$684,120结束日期
Dec 31, 2025市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's final prison term, with No Prison Time edging out at 29.3% amid his ongoing New York legal battles and deteriorating health at age 73. Recent catalysts include his March 10 Rikers Island interview detailing isolation, assaults by inmates, and failing health—"I'm dying here"—prompting leniency discussions, alongside a February legal team switch ahead of an April 14 retrial on a third-degree rape charge. The 2025 criminal sexual act conviction awaits sentencing (up to 25 years potential), while his 16-year California term stands amid appeals. Key differentiators: retrial verdict, compassionate release bids citing health, and concurrent sentencing resolutions could tip toward shorter or no additional time versus cumulative 20-30+ years.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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