Trader consensus favors "No" at 60% implied probability for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay, driven by precarious group standings and grueling remaining fixtures for underdogs like New Zealand, Venezuela, and Uzbekistan. New Zealand stumbled in OFC playoffs with a recent loss to Fiji, exposing defensive frailties against compact defenses, while Venezuela's CONMEBOL campaign hit turbulence after dropping points to Colombia amid key midfielder Yeferson Soteldo's hamstring injury. Uzbekistan faltered in AFC third-round action, conceding late goals to stronger sides like Iran, widening the gap to automatic qualification spots. These setbacks, coupled with head-to-head dominance by favorites and expanded playoff volatility, underscore why crowds see at least one longshot faltering before the June 2026 host nation allocations finalize paths.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
NEW
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Mar 31, 2026
是
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Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
市场开放时间： Nov 24, 2025, 11:32 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 24, 2025, 11:32 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
交易量
$0结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 24, 2025, 11:32 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 60% implied probability for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay, driven by precarious group standings and grueling remaining fixtures for underdogs like New Zealand, Venezuela, and Uzbekistan. New Zealand stumbled in OFC playoffs with a recent loss to Fiji, exposing defensive frailties against compact defenses, while Venezuela's CONMEBOL campaign hit turbulence after dropping points to Colombia amid key midfielder Yeferson Soteldo's hamstring injury. Uzbekistan faltered in AFC third-round action, conceding late goals to stronger sides like Iran, widening the gap to automatic qualification spots. These setbacks, coupled with head-to-head dominance by favorites and expanded playoff volatility, underscore why crowds see at least one longshot faltering before the June 2026 host nation allocations finalize paths.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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