Trader consensus leans heavily against the FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay hitting, with "No" implying 61% probability, driven primarily by dismal recent qualifier form among key legs like New Zealand's OFC struggles against stronger Pacific rivals and Venezuela's inconsistent CONMEBOL results despite a surprise win streak. Several underdogs, including Jamaica in CONCACAF, face grueling remaining schedules with top teams like Mexico and the USMNT, where head-to-head losses highlight defensive frailties. No major injuries alter dynamics, but momentum favors favorites—historical qualification rates for such +1000 shots hover under 20%, underscoring the parlay's fragility as at least one falter seems inevitable amid tight group races.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
是
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
市场开放时间： Nov 24, 2025, 11:32 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 24, 2025, 11:32 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
交易量
$0结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 24, 2025, 11:32 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus leans heavily against the FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay hitting, with "No" implying 61% probability, driven primarily by dismal recent qualifier form among key legs like New Zealand's OFC struggles against stronger Pacific rivals and Venezuela's inconsistent CONMEBOL results despite a surprise win streak. Several underdogs, including Jamaica in CONCACAF, face grueling remaining schedules with top teams like Mexico and the USMNT, where head-to-head losses highlight defensive frailties. No major injuries alter dynamics, but momentum favors favorites—historical qualification rates for such +1000 shots hover under 20%, underscoring the parlay's fragility as at least one falter seems inevitable amid tight group races.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题