Trader consensus on Polymarket pins Elon Musk's tweet count from March 31 to April 7 at a tight cluster of 220-279 posts (implied probabilities topping 16% for 240-259), reflecting his recent weekly rhythm averaging 29-35 tweets daily across eight-day spans. Variability defines the competitive dynamics: March 24-31 logged 202+ posts with extremes like 11 one day and 52 another, tempered by lulls absent major viral moments, Tesla updates, or political flare-ups in the past 48 hours. No dominant frontrunner emerges due to Musk's unpredictable spikes tied to social media buzz or announcements; key swing factors include xAI developments or controversies through April 7, with daily tallies poised to sharpen odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于240-259 16%
260-279 15%
220-239 14%
280-299 13%
$3,971,163 交易量
$3,971,163 交易量
2026-04-07
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
2%
180-199
5%
200-219
9%
220-239
14%
240-259
16%
260-279
15%
280-299
13%
300-319
10%
320-339
7%
340-359
5%
360-379
3%
380-399
2%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
240-259 16%
260-279 15%
220-239 14%
280-299 13%
$3,971,163 交易量
$3,971,163 交易量
2026-04-07
<20
$377,543 交易量
<1%
20-39
$2,590,644 交易量
<1%
40-59
$68,667 交易量
<1%
60-79
$58,577 交易量
<1%
80-99
$85,715 交易量
<1%
100-119
$43,928 交易量
<1%
120-139
$52,730 交易量
<1%
140-159
$51,936 交易量
1%
160-179
$36,281 交易量
2%
180-199
$31,825 交易量
5%
200-219
$31,676 交易量
9%
220-239
$50,268 交易量
14%
240-259
$36,936 交易量
16%
260-279
$39,587 交易量
15%
280-299
$31,344 交易量
13%
300-319
$27,828 交易量
10%
320-339
$21,003 交易量
7%
340-359
$21,905 交易量
5%
360-379
$20,763 交易量
3%
380-399
$27,387 交易量
2%
400-419
$18,825 交易量
2%
420-439
$23,262 交易量
1%
440-459
$19,262 交易量
1%
460-479
$17,083 交易量
<1%
480-499
$17,741 交易量
<1%
500-519
$24,595 交易量
<1%
520-539
$24,304 交易量
<1%
540-559
$24,176 交易量
<1%
560-579
$36,004 交易量
<1%
580+
$59,912 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket pins Elon Musk's tweet count from March 31 to April 7 at a tight cluster of 220-279 posts (implied probabilities topping 16% for 240-259), reflecting his recent weekly rhythm averaging 29-35 tweets daily across eight-day spans. Variability defines the competitive dynamics: March 24-31 logged 202+ posts with extremes like 11 one day and 52 another, tempered by lulls absent major viral moments, Tesla updates, or political flare-ups in the past 48 hours. No dominant frontrunner emerges due to Musk's unpredictable spikes tied to social media buzz or announcements; key swing factors include xAI developments or controversies through April 7, with daily tallies poised to sharpen odds.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$3,971,163结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket pins Elon Musk's tweet count from March 31 to April 7 at a tight cluster of 220-279 posts (implied probabilities topping 16% for 240-259), reflecting his recent weekly rhythm averaging 29-35 tweets daily across eight-day spans. Variability defines the competitive dynamics: March 24-31 logged 202+ posts with extremes like 11 one day and 52 another, tempered by lulls absent major viral moments, Tesla updates, or political flare-ups in the past 48 hours. No dominant frontrunner emerges due to Musk's unpredictable spikes tied to social media buzz or announcements; key swing factors include xAI developments or controversies through April 7, with daily tallies poised to sharpen odds.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$3,971,163结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket pins Elon Musk's tweet count from March 31 to April 7 at a tight cluster of 220-279 posts (implied probabilities topping 16% for 240-259), reflecting his recent weekly rhythm averaging 29-35 tweets daily across eight-day spans. Variability defines the competitive dynamics: March 24-31 logged 202+ posts with extremes like 11 one day and 52 another, tempered by lulls absent major viral moments, Tesla updates, or political flare-ups in the past 48 hours. No dominant frontrunner emerges due to Musk's unpredictable spikes tied to social media buzz or announcements; key swing factors include xAI developments or controversies through April 7, with daily tallies poised to sharpen odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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