Market icon
政治·奖励200、4.5、50

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月24日至3月31日？

Market icon
政治·奖励200、4.5、50

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月24日至3月31日？

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

TWEET COUNT
114
剩余时间
TWEETS
114
剩余时间

220-239 29.9%

240-259 22%

200-219 14.3%

260-279 14%

Polymarket

$5,898,658 交易量

220-239 29.9%

240-259 22%

200-219 14.3%

260-279 14%

Polymarket

$5,898,658 交易量

140-159

$474,877 交易量

<1%

160-179

$319,501 交易量

<1%

180-199

$348,547 交易量

4%

200-219

$400,144 交易量

14%

220-239

$301,900 交易量

30%

240-259

$214,172 交易量

22%

260-279

$187,503 交易量

14%

280-299

$152,805 交易量

8%

300-319

$189,981 交易量

3%

320-339

$186,701 交易量

1%

340-359

$170,572 交易量

1%

360-379

$179,930 交易量

<1%

380-399

$153,483 交易量

<1%

400-419

$251,226 交易量

<1%

420-439

$239,625 交易量

<1%

440-459

$262,918 交易量

<1%

460-479

$219,157 交易量

<1%

480-499

$176,356 交易量

<1%

500-519

$203,797 交易量

<1%

520-539

$159,622 交易量

<1%

540-559

$154,625 交易量

<1%

560-579

$177,882 交易量

<1%

580+

$224,781 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk posting 220-239 X updates from March 24-31 (30% implied probability), edging out 240-259 (24%), reflecting his historical average of 25-34 posts daily amid volatile engagement patterns. Through March 28 (71% elapsed), 141 posts logged at a subdued 20-per-day pace—down from 27-29 through March 27, buoyed by viral reactions to his Terafab chip factory reveal and White House rejection of his TSA salary offer during DHS shutdown talks. March 28 saw just a handful amid Tesla FSD praise in Germany and Model Y sales boasts, fostering split sentiment on rebound potential. Key swing factors include weekend political sparring or xAI/Grok updates before March 31 cutoff, with low-volume lulls common in quieter periods versus event-driven spikes.

Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk posting 220-239 X updates from March 24-31 (30% implied probability), edging out 240-259 (24%), reflecting his historical average of 25-34 posts daily amid volatile engagement patterns. Through March 28 (71% elapsed), 141 posts logged at a subdued 20-per-day pace—down from 27-29 through March 27, buoyed by viral reactions to his Terafab chip factory reveal and White House rejection of his TSA salary offer during DHS shutdown talks. March 28 saw just a handful amid Tesla FSD praise in Germany and Model Y sales boasts, fostering split sentiment on rebound potential. Key swing factors include weekend political sparring or xAI/Grok updates before March 31 cutoff, with low-volume lulls common in quieter periods versus event-driven spikes.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk posting 220-239 X updates from March 24-31 (30% implied probability), edging out 240-259 (24%), reflecting his historical average of 25-34 posts daily amid volatile engagement patterns. Through March 28 (71% elapsed), 141 posts logged at a subdued 20-per-day pace—down from 27-29 through March 27, buoyed by viral reactions to his Terafab chip factory reveal and White House rejection of his TSA salary offer during DHS shutdown talks. March 28 saw just a handful amid Tesla FSD praise in Germany and Model Y sales boasts, fostering split sentiment on rebound potential. Key swing factors include weekend political sparring or xAI/Grok updates before March 31 cutoff, with low-volume lulls common in quieter periods versus event-driven spikes.

Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk posting 220-239 X updates from March 24-31 (30% implied probability), edging out 240-259 (24%), reflecting his historical average of 25-34 posts daily amid volatile engagement patterns. Through March 28 (71% elapsed), 141 posts logged at a subdued 20-per-day pace—down from 27-29 through March 27, buoyed by viral reactions to his Terafab chip factory reveal and White House rejection of his TSA salary offer during DHS shutdown talks. March 28 saw just a handful amid Tesla FSD praise in Germany and Model Y sales boasts, fostering split sentiment on rebound potential. Key swing factors include weekend political sparring or xAI/Grok updates before March 31 cutoff, with low-volume lulls common in quieter periods versus event-driven spikes.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月24日至3月31日？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 30 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"220-239"，概率为 30%，其次是"240-259"，概率为 22%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 30¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 30%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月24日至3月31日？"已产生 $5.9 million 的总交易量（自Mar 21, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月24日至3月31日？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 30 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月24日至3月31日？"的当前领先者是"220-239"，概率为 30%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 30%。紧随其后的结果是"240-259"，概率为 22%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月24日至3月31日？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。