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埃隆·马斯克 musk # 推文在 2025 年 12 月?

Market icon

埃隆·马斯克 musk # 推文在 2025 年 12 月?

1400+ 100.0%

<20 <1%

分组项标题:20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$5,520,306 交易量

1400+ 100.0%

<20 <1%

分组项标题:20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$5,520,306 交易量

<20

$30,023 交易量

分组项标题:20-39

$12,803 交易量

40-59

$61,410 交易量

60-79

$15,368 交易量

分组项标题:80-99

$512,155 交易量

分组项标题:100-119

$9,603 交易量

分组项标题:120-139

$35,492 交易量

140-159

$26,349 交易量

160-179

$42,399 交易量

180-199

$20,332 交易量

分组项标题:200-219

$19,641 交易量

220-239

$20,274 交易量

240-259

$29,650 交易量

分组项标题:260-279

$40,680 交易量

分组项标题:280-299

$44,084 交易量

300-319

$20,347 交易量

320-339

$61,209 交易量

340-359

$92,644 交易量

360-379

$25,921 交易量

380-399

$27,887 交易量

400-419

$167,459 交易量

420-439

$89,070 交易量

440-459

$33,736 交易量

分组项标题:460-479

$37,608 交易量

480-499

$37,904 交易量

500-519

$71,894 交易量

520-539

$136,768 交易量

540-559

$100,709 交易量

分组项标题:560-579

$49,839 交易量

580-599

$55,740 交易量

分组项标题:600-639

$87,082 交易量

分组项标题:640-679

$117,774 交易量

680-719

$146,716 交易量

分组项标题:720-759

$122,482 交易量

760-799

$385,650 交易量

分组项标题:800-839

$179,559 交易量

840-879

$240,405 交易量

880-919

$149,778 交易量

920-959

$206,893 交易量

分组项标题:960-999

$86,699 交易量

分组项标题:1000-1039

$90,905 交易量

1040-1079

$115,312 交易量

1080-1119

$232,659 交易量

分组项标题:1120-1159

$188,318 交易量

1160-1199

$157,760 交易量

1200-1239

$237,536 交易量

分组项标题:1240-1279

$122,534 交易量

分组项标题:1280-1319

$194,313 交易量

分组项标题:1320-1359

$206,712 交易量

1360-1399

$165,613 交易量

1400+

$156,609 交易量

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of December 2025.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$5,520,306
结束日期
Jan 1, 2026
市场开放时间
Oct 24, 2025, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of December 2025. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"埃隆·马斯克 musk # 推文在 2025 年 12 月?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 51+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1400+" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "埃隆·马斯克 musk # 推文在 2025 年 12 月?" has generated $5.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "埃隆·马斯克 musk # 推文在 2025 年 12 月?," browse the 51+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "埃隆·马斯克 musk # 推文在 2025 年 12 月?" is "1400+" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "埃隆·马斯克 musk # 推文在 2025 年 12 月?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.