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埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2025年12月16日-2025年12月23日?

Market icon

埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2025年12月16日-2025年12月23日?

340-359 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

分组项标题:40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$21,938,531 交易量

340-359 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

分组项标题:40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$21,938,531 交易量

<20

$107,177 交易量

20-39

$5,030,123 交易量

分组项标题:40-59

$470,960 交易量

分组项标题:60-79

$91,997 交易量

80-99

$143,507 交易量

分组条目标题:100-119

$200,452 交易量

120-139

$184,089 交易量

140-159

$193,277 交易量

分组项标题:160-179

$247,823 交易量

180-199

$452,866 交易量

200-219

$565,224 交易量

220-239

$856,663 交易量

分组项标题:240-259

$567,838 交易量

260-279

$549,946 交易量

280-299

$1,232,686 交易量

300-319

$1,088,352 交易量

320-339

$1,672,900 交易量

340-359

$1,318,410 交易量

分组项标题:360-379

$1,345,675 交易量

分组项标题:380-399

$789,788 交易量

400-419

$659,245 交易量

420-439

$635,352 交易量

440-459

$525,165 交易量

分组项标题:460-479

$401,281 交易量

480-499

$347,364 交易量

分组项标题:500-519

$477,026 交易量

分组项标题:520-539

$493,102 交易量

分组项标题:540-559

$389,444 交易量

分组项标题:560-579

$361,723 交易量

580+

$539,077 交易量

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from December 16 12:00 PM ET to December 23, 2025 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$21,938,531
结束日期
Dec 23, 2025
市场开放时间
Dec 13, 2025, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from December 16 12:00 PM ET to December 23, 2025 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2025年12月16日-2025年12月23日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "340-359" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2025年12月16日-2025年12月23日?" has generated $21.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2025年12月16日-2025年12月23日?," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2025年12月16日-2025年12月23日?" is "340-359" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2025年12月16日-2025年12月23日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.