**Databricks traders reflect overwhelming consensus (91.4% implied probability) against an IPO by June 30, 2026, anchored by the absence of any S-1 filing or official timeline announcement since the firm's $5 billion equity raise and $2 billion debt facility at a $134 billion private valuation in February.** Ample funding extends runway for the data lakehouse and AI platform, prioritizing expansions like the March Lakewatch cybersecurity suite and $850 million UK investment over rushed public listing amid volatile enterprise software multiples and standard 3-6 month SEC review timelines. Realistic shifts could stem from a sudden confidential S-1 submission with fast-tracked approval, fueled by 2026 AI IPO hype around OpenAI and Anthropic, though such acceleration remains rare for complex tech filings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年6月30日前未上市 91.2%
2500亿以上 3.5%
1750–2000亿美元 1.8%
1250–1500 亿 1.7%
$365,542 交易量
$365,542 交易量
2026-06-30
低于1000亿
1%
1000–1250 亿
1%
1250–1500 亿
2%
1500–1750亿美元
2%
1750–2000亿美元
2%
2000–2500 亿
1%
2500亿以上
4%
2026年6月30日前未上市
91%
2026年6月30日前未上市 91.2%
2500亿以上 3.5%
1750–2000亿美元 1.8%
1250–1500 亿 1.7%
$365,542 交易量
$365,542 交易量
2026-06-30
低于1000亿
$32,044 交易量
1%
1000–1250 亿
$37,904 交易量
1%
1250–1500 亿
$24,250 交易量
2%
1500–1750亿美元
$58,611 交易量
2%
1750–2000亿美元
$56,728 交易量
2%
2000–2500 亿
$19,022 交易量
1%
2500亿以上
$124,207 交易量
4%
2026年6月30日前未上市
$12,776 交易量
91%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Databricks traders reflect overwhelming consensus (91.4% implied probability) against an IPO by June 30, 2026, anchored by the absence of any S-1 filing or official timeline announcement since the firm's $5 billion equity raise and $2 billion debt facility at a $134 billion private valuation in February.** Ample funding extends runway for the data lakehouse and AI platform, prioritizing expansions like the March Lakewatch cybersecurity suite and $850 million UK investment over rushed public listing amid volatile enterprise software multiples and standard 3-6 month SEC review timelines. Realistic shifts could stem from a sudden confidential S-1 submission with fast-tracked approval, fueled by 2026 AI IPO hype around OpenAI and Anthropic, though such acceleration remains rare for complex tech filings.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
交易量
$365,542结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Databricks traders reflect overwhelming consensus (91.4% implied probability) against an IPO by June 30, 2026, anchored by the absence of any S-1 filing or official timeline announcement since the firm's $5 billion equity raise and $2 billion debt facility at a $134 billion private valuation in February.** Ample funding extends runway for the data lakehouse and AI platform, prioritizing expansions like the March Lakewatch cybersecurity suite and $850 million UK investment over rushed public listing amid volatile enterprise software multiples and standard 3-6 month SEC review timelines. Realistic shifts could stem from a sudden confidential S-1 submission with fast-tracked approval, fueled by 2026 AI IPO hype around OpenAI and Anthropic, though such acceleration remains rare for complex tech filings.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$365,542结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Databricks traders reflect overwhelming consensus (91.4% implied probability) against an IPO by June 30, 2026, anchored by the absence of any S-1 filing or official timeline announcement since the firm's $5 billion equity raise and $2 billion debt facility at a $134 billion private valuation in February.** Ample funding extends runway for the data lakehouse and AI platform, prioritizing expansions like the March Lakewatch cybersecurity suite and $850 million UK investment over rushed public listing amid volatile enterprise software multiples and standard 3-6 month SEC review timelines. Realistic shifts could stem from a sudden confidential S-1 submission with fast-tracked approval, fueled by 2026 AI IPO hype around OpenAI and Anthropic, though such acceleration remains rare for complex tech filings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题