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Montaigne

加入時間 Feb 2026·31 瀏覽量

Nothing is so firmly believed as what we least know.

$163.0K

持倉價值

$4,524.88

最高贏利

160

預測

盈虧

$4,437.14
Polymarket

過去 24 小時

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
icon for Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 50¢
100,161.0 份額
$81,280.65$31,200.15 (62.3%)
icon for Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 50¢
100,161.0 份額
$18,880.35-$31,200.15 (-62.3%)
icon for Netanyahu out by June 30?

Netanyahu out by June 30?

No 84¢
14,999.9 份額
$14,624.92$2,025.30 (16.07%)
icon for Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 91.9¢
10,845.6 份額
$10,465.98$498.09 (5%)
icon for US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

No 79.6¢
10,573.1 份額
$10,356.39$1,940.64 (23.06%)
icon for Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

No 85.6¢
5,028.4 份額
$4,922.82$616.86 (14.33%)
icon for Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 80.2¢
3,100.0 份額
$2,681.46$196.54 (7.91%)
icon for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 66.8¢
12,703.7 份額
$2,375.58-$6,109.22 (-72%)
icon for Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 66.3¢
2,560.0 份額
$2,111.97$414.33 (24.41%)
icon for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 78.4¢
3,147.0 份額
$2,061.30-$406.54 (-16.47%)
icon for GTA VI released before June 2026?

GTA VI released before June 2026?

No 97.7¢
1,765.8 份額
$1,763.10$38.41 (2.23%)
icon for Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

No 77.5¢
1,462.1 份額
$1,418.94$286.34 (25.28%)
icon for Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

No 82.7¢
1,222.2 份額
$1,142.76$132.54 (13.12%)
icon for Iran leadership change by May 31?

Iran leadership change by May 31?

No 87.7¢
1,150.1 份額
$1,115.07$106.75 (10.59%)
icon for Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

No 84¢
1,169.5 份額
$1,058.38$76.02 (7.74%)
icon for Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

No 92.4¢
933.5 份額
$918.12$55.61 (6.45%)
icon for US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 64.8¢
1,000.0 份額
$614.99-$33.20 (-5.12%)
icon for Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 95.7¢
619.1 份額
$587.84-$4.47 (-0.75%)
icon for Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

No 35.3¢
1,678.4 份額
$478.17-$114.55 (-19.33%)
icon for Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 95.4¢
400.0 份額
$393.79$12.02 (3.15%)