Market icon

原油（ CL ）是否會在6月底前達到__ ？

Market icon

原油（ CL ）是否會在6月底前達到__ ？

Mar 31

May 1

Jun 30

Mar 31

May 1

Jun 30

$2,724,733 交易量

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$2,724,733 交易量

Polymarket

↑ $200

$1,086,575 交易量

14%

↑ $175

$80,744 交易量

17%

↑ $150

$571,222 交易量

27%

↑ $140

$15,685 交易量

36%

↑ $130

$24,833 交易量

46%

↑ $120

$15,542 交易量

59%

↑ $115

$6,084 交易量

65%

↑ $110

$81,671 交易量

78%

↑ $105

$19,876 交易量

81%

↑ $100

$600,544 交易量

94%

↓ $85

$11,452 交易量

62%

↓ $80

$6,700 交易量

56%

↓ $70

$6,877 交易量

35%

↓ $60

$3,770 交易量

18%

↓ $55

$32,364 交易量

12%

↓ $52

$13,389 交易量

7%

↓ $50

$18,712 交易量

6%

↓ $47

$8,624 交易量

6%

↓ $45

$4,390 交易量

4%

↓ $40

$5,288 交易量

3%

↓ $35

$12,909 交易量

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or below the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.WTI crude oil futures have surged over 5% in the past session to $99.64 per barrel as of March 27, propelled by escalating Middle East tensions and mixed signals on US-Iran ceasefire talks, embedding a substantial geopolitical risk premium into trader consensus. This rally offsets recent US inventory builds, with EIA data showing a +6.9 million barrel increase for the week ending March 20 amid steady production near 13.6 million bpd and a slight dip in the Baker Hughes oil rig count to 409. OPEC+ began modestly unwinding voluntary cuts with a 206,000 bpd boost from April, signaling ample supply ahead. Key catalysts include weekly EIA reports, potential FOMC rate signals impacting global demand, and June OPEC+ meetings, with forecasts varying from $70-95/bbl by quarter-end amid persistent stock accumulation.

WTI crude oil futures have surged over 5% in the past session to $99.64 per barrel as of March 27, propelled by escalating Middle East tensions and mixed signals on US-Iran ceasefire talks, embedding a substantial geopolitical risk premium into trader consensus. This rally offsets recent US inventory builds, with EIA data showing a +6.9 million barrel increase for the week ending March 20 amid steady production near 13.6 million bpd and a slight dip in the Baker Hughes oil rig count to 409. OPEC+ began modestly unwinding voluntary cuts with a 206,000 bpd boost from April, signaling ample supply ahead. Key catalysts include weekly EIA reports, potential FOMC rate signals impacting global demand, and June OPEC+ meetings, with forecasts varying from $70-95/bbl by quarter-end amid persistent stock accumulation.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or below the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.WTI crude oil futures have surged over 5% in the past session to $99.64 per barrel as of March 27, propelled by escalating Middle East tensions and mixed signals on US-Iran ceasefire talks, embedding a substantial geopolitical risk premium into trader consensus. This rally offsets recent US inventory builds, with EIA data showing a +6.9 million barrel increase for the week ending March 20 amid steady production near 13.6 million bpd and a slight dip in the Baker Hughes oil rig count to 409. OPEC+ began modestly unwinding voluntary cuts with a 206,000 bpd boost from April, signaling ample supply ahead. Key catalysts include weekly EIA reports, potential FOMC rate signals impacting global demand, and June OPEC+ meetings, with forecasts varying from $70-95/bbl by quarter-end amid persistent stock accumulation.

WTI crude oil futures have surged over 5% in the past session to $99.64 per barrel as of March 27, propelled by escalating Middle East tensions and mixed signals on US-Iran ceasefire talks, embedding a substantial geopolitical risk premium into trader consensus. This rally offsets recent US inventory builds, with EIA data showing a +6.9 million barrel increase for the week ending March 20 amid steady production near 13.6 million bpd and a slight dip in the Baker Hughes oil rig count to 409. OPEC+ began modestly unwinding voluntary cuts with a 206,000 bpd boost from April, signaling ample supply ahead. Key catalysts include weekly EIA reports, potential FOMC rate signals impacting global demand, and June OPEC+ meetings, with forecasts varying from $70-95/bbl by quarter-end amid persistent stock accumulation.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"原油（ CL ）是否會在6月底前達到__ ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↓ $90" at 100%, followed by "↑ $90" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "原油（ CL ）是否會在6月底前達到__ ？" has generated $2.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "原油（ CL ）是否會在6月底前達到__ ？," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "原油（ CL ）是否會在6月底前達到__ ？" is "↓ $90" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ $90" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "原油（ CL ）是否會在6月底前達到__ ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.