Trader consensus on Polymarket prices June 2026 gold (GC) settlement in the tightly contested $4,200-$5,000 range, with $4,200-$4,600 (17.6%) and $4,600-$5,000 (17.5%) leading amid balanced positioning reflecting real-money bets on near-term stability around current June futures levels near $4,680. Driving this competition is gold's sharp 2.3% drop to $4,677 on April 2 after President Trump's lack of clarity on Iran conflict de-escalation tempered safe-haven flows, compounded by hawkish Federal Reserve repricing from March inflation data showing persistent pressures and 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5%. Offsetting bullish central bank buying (19 tonnes net in February, led by Poland) are dollar strength and rate hike risks; upcoming April CPI (May 14 release) and May FOMC could differentiate outcomes by reshaping policy expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$4,200-$4,600 17.6%
$4,600-$5,000 18%
5,000至5,400美元 16.3%
$3,800-$4,200 13.0%
$859,872 交易量
$859,872 交易量
低於$3,800
8%
$3,800-$4,200
13%
$4,200-$4,600
18%
$4,600-$5,000
18%
5,000至5,400美元
16%
5,400至5,800美元
11%
$5,800-$6,200
7%
高於$6,200
6%
$4,200-$4,600 17.6%
$4,600-$5,000 18%
5,000至5,400美元 16.3%
$3,800-$4,200 13.0%
$859,872 交易量
$859,872 交易量
低於$3,800
8%
$3,800-$4,200
13%
$4,200-$4,600
18%
$4,600-$5,000
18%
5,000至5,400美元
16%
5,400至5,800美元
11%
$5,800-$6,200
7%
高於$6,200
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市場開放時間: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices June 2026 gold (GC) settlement in the tightly contested $4,200-$5,000 range, with $4,200-$4,600 (17.6%) and $4,600-$5,000 (17.5%) leading amid balanced positioning reflecting real-money bets on near-term stability around current June futures levels near $4,680. Driving this competition is gold's sharp 2.3% drop to $4,677 on April 2 after President Trump's lack of clarity on Iran conflict de-escalation tempered safe-haven flows, compounded by hawkish Federal Reserve repricing from March inflation data showing persistent pressures and 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5%. Offsetting bullish central bank buying (19 tonnes net in February, led by Poland) are dollar strength and rate hike risks; upcoming April CPI (May 14 release) and May FOMC could differentiate outcomes by reshaping policy expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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