Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60% implied probability for WTI Crude Oil (CL) June 2026 settlement above $84, driven by persistent supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz from escalating US-Iran tensions since early March, which have propelled front-month futures to recent highs near $110 before a volatile pullback to around $95-$97 as of May 7. The 20% odds for $77-$84 reflect trader hedging against fragile de-escalation signals, including US assistance for stranded ships, while lower bins below $70 carry minimal weight amid tight inventories and EIA's upward revision to $115/bbl Brent peak expectations for 2Q26. Key swing factors include any Hormuz reopening or intensified clashes ahead of June expiration, with Cushing stocks drawing down further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於原油( CL )在6月份的結算時間為何?
原油( CL )在6月份的結算時間為何?
>$84以上 61%
$77-$84 20%
$70-$77 5.0%
$63-$70 4.9%
$156,044 交易量
$156,044 交易量
低於$42
2%
42至49美元
1%
$49-$56
2%
56至63美元
3%
$63-$70
5%
$70-$77
5%
$77-$84
20%
>$84以上
61%
>$84以上 61%
$77-$84 20%
$70-$77 5.0%
$63-$70 4.9%
$156,044 交易量
$156,044 交易量
低於$42
2%
42至49美元
1%
$49-$56
2%
56至63美元
3%
$63-$70
5%
$70-$77
5%
$77-$84
20%
>$84以上
61%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市場開放時間: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60% implied probability for WTI Crude Oil (CL) June 2026 settlement above $84, driven by persistent supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz from escalating US-Iran tensions since early March, which have propelled front-month futures to recent highs near $110 before a volatile pullback to around $95-$97 as of May 7. The 20% odds for $77-$84 reflect trader hedging against fragile de-escalation signals, including US assistance for stranded ships, while lower bins below $70 carry minimal weight amid tight inventories and EIA's upward revision to $115/bbl Brent peak expectations for 2Q26. Key swing factors include any Hormuz reopening or intensified clashes ahead of June expiration, with Cushing stocks drawing down further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions