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金融·商品

黃金（ GC ）高於3月底的___ ？

Market icon
金融·商品

黃金（ GC ）高於3月底的___ ？

Ended: 3月 31

6月 30

Ended: 3月 31

6月 30

$244,873 交易量

2026-03-31
Polymarket

$244,873 交易量

Polymarket

7,000美元

$16,633 交易量

否

6,500美元

$7,657 交易量

否

6,000美元

$20,864 交易量

否

5,800美元

$33,174 交易量

否

$5,600

$6,512 交易量

否

5,400美元

$46,096 交易量

否

5,200美元

$5,708 交易量

否

5,000美元

$13,443 交易量

否

4,800美元

$16,616 交易量

否

4,600美元

$62,840 交易量

是

4,400美元

$4,349 交易量

是

4,000美元

$10,982 交易量

是

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) settled at $4,698.50 on the final trading day of March 2026, capping a volatile month with a roughly 15% decline from January peaks above $5,600 amid a surging U.S. dollar index and 10-year Treasury yields climbing toward 4.8%. Markets priced zero Federal Reserve rate cuts for 2026 following sticky inflation readings like February CPI at 3.2%, overpowering safe-haven flows from Middle East tensions and central bank purchases. A late-March rally off the 50-week moving average accelerated on falling yields, highlighting gold's sensitivity to real interest rates. Traders eye April nonfarm payrolls and the May FOMC for policy signals shaping Q2 pricing dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.

This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.

The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
交易量
$244,873
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) settled at $4,698.50 on the final trading day of March 2026, capping a volatile month with a roughly 15% decline from January peaks above $5,600 amid a surging U.S. dollar index and 10-year Treasury yields climbing toward 4.8%. Markets priced zero Federal Reserve rate cuts for 2026 following sticky inflation readings like February CPI at 3.2%, overpowering safe-haven flows from Middle East tensions and central bank purchases. A late-March rally off the 50-week moving average accelerated on falling yields, highlighting gold's sensitivity to real interest rates. Traders eye April nonfarm payrolls and the May FOMC for policy signals shaping Q2 pricing dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.

This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.

The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
交易量
$244,873
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"黃金（ GC ）高於3月底的___ ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4,600美元" at 100%, followed by "4,400美元" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "黃金（ GC ）高於3月底的___ ？" has generated $244.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "黃金（ GC ）高於3月底的___ ？," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "黃金（ GC ）高於3月底的___ ？" is "4,600美元" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4,400美元" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "黃金（ GC ）高於3月底的___ ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.