Geopolitical tensions stemming from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant driver behind elevated WTI crude oil prices, currently trading near $103 per barrel as of mid-May 2026. Supply disruptions have idled more than 10 million barrels per day of Middle East production, triggering record inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter and supporting futures in the $102–$107 range despite the UAE’s exit from OPEC. Traders are closely watching progress on peace negotiations and any resumption of Hormuz shipping flows, which could ease the acute supply deficit and align with EIA forecasts for a decline toward $89 per barrel by year-end. Key near-term catalysts include potential diplomatic breakthroughs and June inventory data that may influence front-month CL contract settlement by the end of the month.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於原油( CL )是否會在6月底前達到__ ?
$17,517,240 交易量
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
6%
↑ $150
13%
↑ $140
19%
↑ $130
29%
↑ $120
52%
↑ $115
59%
↑ $110
67%
↑ $105
88%
↓ $90
64%
↓ $85
47%
↓ 80美元
37%
↓ $70
12%
↓ $60
6%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
1%
$17,517,240 交易量
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
6%
↑ $150
13%
↑ $140
19%
↑ $130
29%
↑ $120
52%
↑ $115
59%
↑ $110
67%
↑ $105
88%
↓ $90
64%
↓ $85
47%
↓ 80美元
37%
↓ $70
12%
↓ $60
6%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市場開放時間: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Geopolitical tensions stemming from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant driver behind elevated WTI crude oil prices, currently trading near $103 per barrel as of mid-May 2026. Supply disruptions have idled more than 10 million barrels per day of Middle East production, triggering record inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter and supporting futures in the $102–$107 range despite the UAE’s exit from OPEC. Traders are closely watching progress on peace negotiations and any resumption of Hormuz shipping flows, which could ease the acute supply deficit and align with EIA forecasts for a decline toward $89 per barrel by year-end. Key near-term catalysts include potential diplomatic breakthroughs and June inventory data that may influence front-month CL contract settlement by the end of the month.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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