Geopolitical tensions stemming from the ongoing US-Iran conflict and the resulting disruption of oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant driver of crude oil prices, pushing benchmarks like WTI and Brent sharply higher amid tight physical supplies and record inventory draws projected at 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter. Recent OPEC+ decisions to modestly raise June output quotas by 188,000 barrels per day signal willingness to ease constraints once transit resumes, yet the market stays in deficit through mid-year, supporting elevated trading levels around $106 per barrel for Brent in May and June according to the EIA. Traders are closely watching for any de-escalation signals or resumption of Middle East shipments, which could ease upward pressure before the end of June resolution window, while sustained disruptions risk further volatility in line with historical precedent during major supply shocks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於原油( CL )是否會在6月底前達到__ ?
$17,480,305 交易量
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
6%
↑ $150
13%
↑ $140
19%
↑ $130
32%
↑ $120
49%
↑ $115
64%
↑ $110
64%
↑ $105
87%
↓ $90
66%
↓ $85
48%
↓ 80美元
40%
↓ $70
12%
↓ $60
5%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
1%
$17,480,305 交易量
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
6%
↑ $150
13%
↑ $140
19%
↑ $130
32%
↑ $120
49%
↑ $115
64%
↑ $110
64%
↑ $105
87%
↓ $90
66%
↓ $85
48%
↓ 80美元
40%
↓ $70
12%
↓ $60
5%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市場開放時間: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Geopolitical tensions stemming from the ongoing US-Iran conflict and the resulting disruption of oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant driver of crude oil prices, pushing benchmarks like WTI and Brent sharply higher amid tight physical supplies and record inventory draws projected at 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter. Recent OPEC+ decisions to modestly raise June output quotas by 188,000 barrels per day signal willingness to ease constraints once transit resumes, yet the market stays in deficit through mid-year, supporting elevated trading levels around $106 per barrel for Brent in May and June according to the EIA. Traders are closely watching for any de-escalation signals or resumption of Middle East shipments, which could ease upward pressure before the end of June resolution window, while sustained disruptions risk further volatility in line with historical precedent during major supply shocks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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