Geopolitical tensions surrounding the Iran conflict and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have served as the primary catalyst elevating U.S. retail gasoline prices throughout May 2026, with national averages climbing above $4.50 per gallon amid tight global crude inventories and strong seasonal demand ahead of the summer driving period. Persistent supply concerns, including lower distillate stocks and reduced refinery throughput, have reinforced upward pressure on pump prices despite some moderation in crude benchmarks. The EIA’s May Short-Term Energy Outlook highlighted resilient production alongside inventory builds that could temper volatility, while traders monitor weekly storage data and any de-escalation signals for potential relief. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these macro and geopolitical dynamics rather than certainties.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$206,438 交易量
↑ $5.00
No
↑ $4.70
No
↑ $4.60
No
↑ $4.50
Yes
↑ $4.45
Yes
↑ $4.40
Yes
↑ $4.35
Yes
↓ $4.25
No
↓ $4.20
No
↓ $4.10
No
↓ $4.00
No
↓ $3.75
No
↓ $3.50
No
$206,438 交易量
↑ $5.00
No
↑ $4.70
No
↑ $4.60
No
↑ $4.50
Yes
↑ $4.45
Yes
↑ $4.40
Yes
↑ $4.35
Yes
↓ $4.25
No
↓ $4.20
No
↓ $4.10
No
↓ $4.00
No
↓ $3.75
No
↓ $3.50
No
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
市場開放時間： Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Geopolitical tensions surrounding the Iran conflict and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have served as the primary catalyst elevating U.S. retail gasoline prices throughout May 2026, with national averages climbing above $4.50 per gallon amid tight global crude inventories and strong seasonal demand ahead of the summer driving period. Persistent supply concerns, including lower distillate stocks and reduced refinery throughput, have reinforced upward pressure on pump prices despite some moderation in crude benchmarks. The EIA’s May Short-Term Energy Outlook highlighted resilient production alongside inventory builds that could temper volatility, while traders monitor weekly storage data and any de-escalation signals for potential relief. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these macro and geopolitical dynamics rather than certainties.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions