Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

17%

$805K 交易量

$47.9K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

55%

↓ 3.25%

$1M 交易量

$219K Liq.

5

Ends 9 個月內

Price of Dozen Eggs in March?

Price of Dozen Eggs in March?

64%

$2.25–2.50

$389K 交易量

$48.2K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?

Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?

73%

$7.000+

$12 交易量

$1.0K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

Will SOFR hit __ in April?

Will SOFR hit __ in April?

97%

↓3.64%

$2.7K 交易量

$699 Liq.

Ends 26 天內

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

93%

Up

$76 交易量

$609 Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

94%

Up

$10.4K 交易量

$1.6K Liq.

Ends 11 個月內

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

86%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$721K 交易量

$99.7K Liq.

Ends 2 個月內

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

73%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$3.5K 交易量

$128K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$419K 交易量

$95.0K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

80%

No change

$3M 交易量

$310K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

91%

No change

$5M 交易量

$80.6K today

$1M Liq.

Ends 2 個月內

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

97%

Kevin Warsh

$20M 交易量

$1M today

$2M Liq.

75

Ends 7 個月內

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

74%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$107K 交易量

$42.0K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

98%

No change

$48M 交易量

$2M today

$4M Liq.

4

Ends 25 天內

Grand Prix Hassan II: Luciano Darderi vs Marco Trungelliti

Grand Prix Hassan II: Luciano Darderi vs Marco Trungelliti

80%

Luciano Darderi

$1.9K 交易量

$36.3K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

61%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$13.9K Liq.

108

Ends 3 個月內

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

11%

60+

$62.4K 交易量

$18.0K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

1%

May 14

$2M 交易量

$40.0K Liq.

36

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___  by March 31?

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

-

$0 交易量

$2.8K Liq.

Ends 4 天前

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 宏觀聯儲局.

Polymarket currently hosts 137 active markets for 宏觀聯儲局 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Fed rate hike in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $84.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed decision in April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed decision in April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 宏觀聯儲局 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.