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選民 預測與賠率

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Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

45%

Eli Lilly

$83.0K 交易量

$33.5K Liq.

2

Ends 8 個月內

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

87%

$2.7K 交易量

$1.8K Liq.

2

Ends 6 個月內

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

43%

$30.7K 交易量

$33.6K Liq.

3

Ends 4 個月內

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

82%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$4.7K Liq.

125

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

86%

$2.3K 交易量

$5.7K Liq.

2

Ends 6 個月內

Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

99%

FP

$97.1K 交易量

$31.9K Liq.

6

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$584M 交易量

$1M today

$30M Liq.

915

Ends 超過 2 年內

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Nevada Governor Election Winner

55%

Democrat

$23.1K 交易量

$8.9K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

9%

$29.5K 交易量

$13.9K Liq.

3

Ends 大約 1 個月內

New Zealand Election: Turnout

New Zealand Election: Turnout

29%

76-78%

$82 交易量

$2.7K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Iowa Senate Election Winner

62%

Republican

$116K 交易量

$10.9K Liq.

1

Ends 6 個月內

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

94%

$362 交易量

$970 Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

82%

Democrat

$25.7K 交易量

$8.7K Liq.

2

Ends 6 個月內

New Jersey Senate Election Winner

New Jersey Senate Election Winner

95%

Democrat

$17.9K 交易量

$17.0K Liq.

1

Ends 6 個月內

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

100%

70-75%

$269K 交易量

$57.5K Liq.

31

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

59%

Republican

$113K 交易量

$30.1K Liq.

3

Ends 6 個月內

Oregon Senate Election Winner

Oregon Senate Election Winner

93%

Democrat

$4.2K 交易量

$17.8K Liq.

1

Ends 6 個月內

2026 Jeju Province Gubernatorial Election Winner

2026 Jeju Province Gubernatorial Election Winner

74%

Wi Seong-gon

$736 交易量

$4.7K Liq.

Ends 17 天內

South Dakota Senate Election Winner

South Dakota Senate Election Winner

92%

Republican

$5.7K 交易量

$10.5K Liq.

1

Ends 6 個月內

Colorado Senate Election Winner

Colorado Senate Election Winner

92%

Democrat

$35.1K 交易量

$24.1K Liq.

1

Ends 6 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 選民.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for 選民 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which companies will the US take a stake in?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $587.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 19% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 選民 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.