Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic victory at 84% in the open New Hampshire Senate race, driven by recent March polls showing Rep. Chris Pappas leading former Sen. John Sununu 45-44% (Emerson) and 46-43% (Saint Anselm), with RCP averages at Pappas +3 versus Sununu. Pappas dominates his primary at 65% support, bolstered by $6.5 million raised and endorsements from Sens. Hassan and Shaheen, while Sununu leads GOP primary polling at 48% amid a crowded field including Scott Brown. New Hampshire's Democratic federal lean—evident in recent Senate wins and presidential margins—underpins the pricing, though Cook rates it Lean Democrat; September 8 primaries and national midterm trends pose risks to the edge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$18,755 交易量
$18,755 交易量

民主黨
85%

共和黨
14%
$18,755 交易量
$18,755 交易量

民主黨
85%

共和黨
14%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic victory at 84% in the open New Hampshire Senate race, driven by recent March polls showing Rep. Chris Pappas leading former Sen. John Sununu 45-44% (Emerson) and 46-43% (Saint Anselm), with RCP averages at Pappas +3 versus Sununu. Pappas dominates his primary at 65% support, bolstered by $6.5 million raised and endorsements from Sens. Hassan and Shaheen, while Sununu leads GOP primary polling at 48% amid a crowded field including Scott Brown. New Hampshire's Democratic federal lean—evident in recent Senate wins and presidential margins—underpins the pricing, though Cook rates it Lean Democrat; September 8 primaries and national midterm trends pose risks to the edge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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