Trader consensus prices "No" at 91% for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of concrete diplomatic, legislative, or executive progress despite President Trump's rhetorical interest in Greenland and Canada. The Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act, introduced by Rep. Randy Fine in January, remains stalled without committee advancement or Senate support, amid firm Danish and Greenlandic rejections emphasizing sovereignty. Trump's March 10 allusion to Canadian PM Mark Carney as a "future governor" echoed earlier threats but yielded no negotiations or military signals. Constitutional hurdles requiring treaties and congressional approval, plus NATO alliance strains, reinforce the low-probability assessment, with no major catalysts in the past 30 days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$19,478 交易量
$19,478 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$19,478 交易量
$19,478 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 91% for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of concrete diplomatic, legislative, or executive progress despite President Trump's rhetorical interest in Greenland and Canada. The Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act, introduced by Rep. Randy Fine in January, remains stalled without committee advancement or Senate support, amid firm Danish and Greenlandic rejections emphasizing sovereignty. Trump's March 10 allusion to Canadian PM Mark Carney as a "future governor" echoed earlier threats but yielded no negotiations or military signals. Constitutional hurdles requiring treaties and congressional approval, plus NATO alliance strains, reinforce the low-probability assessment, with no major catalysts in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
交易量
$19,478結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 91% for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of concrete diplomatic, legislative, or executive progress despite President Trump's rhetorical interest in Greenland and Canada. The Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act, introduced by Rep. Randy Fine in January, remains stalled without committee advancement or Senate support, amid firm Danish and Greenlandic rejections emphasizing sovereignty. Trump's March 10 allusion to Canadian PM Mark Carney as a "future governor" echoed earlier threats but yielded no negotiations or military signals. Constitutional hurdles requiring treaties and congressional approval, plus NATO alliance strains, reinforce the low-probability assessment, with no major catalysts in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$19,478結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 91% for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of concrete diplomatic, legislative, or executive progress despite President Trump's rhetorical interest in Greenland and Canada. The Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act, introduced by Rep. Randy Fine in January, remains stalled without committee advancement or Senate support, amid firm Danish and Greenlandic rejections emphasizing sovereignty. Trump's March 10 allusion to Canadian PM Mark Carney as a "future governor" echoed earlier threats but yielded no negotiations or military signals. Constitutional hurdles requiring treaties and congressional approval, plus NATO alliance strains, reinforce the low-probability assessment, with no major catalysts in the past 30 days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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