Market icon
世界·以色列

禮薩·巴列維會在…前進入伊朗嗎？

Market icon
世界·以色列

禮薩·巴列維會在…前進入伊朗嗎？

$11,701,141 交易量

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$11,701,141 交易量

Polymarket

3月31日

$7,802,153 交易量

<1%

4月30日

$252,069 交易量

3%

5月31日

$19,258 交易量

6%

6月30日

$2,101,357 交易量

13%

12月31日

$527,663 交易量

25%

If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Exiled Iranian Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi has intensified calls for regime change amid US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran, including those reportedly killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026, stating in early March Fox News interviews his readiness to enter Iran "as soon as possible, whether before or right after the regime collapses" to lead a transitional government. He has urged diaspora lobbying and street protests while speaking at CPAC in Texas through March 28, yet no confirmed travel plans, safe passage, or physical entry have occurred amid ongoing military tensions, IRGC resistance, and political instability. Trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for near-term entry, prioritizing regime collapse scenarios over immediate return.

Exiled Iranian Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi has intensified calls for regime change amid US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran, including those reportedly killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026, stating in early March Fox News interviews his readiness to enter Iran "as soon as possible, whether before or right after the regime collapses" to lead a transitional government. He has urged diaspora lobbying and street protests while speaking at CPAC in Texas through March 28, yet no confirmed travel plans, safe passage, or physical entry have occurred amid ongoing military tensions, IRGC resistance, and political instability. Trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for near-term entry, prioritizing regime collapse scenarios over immediate return.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Exiled Iranian Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi has intensified calls for regime change amid US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran, including those reportedly killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026, stating in early March Fox News interviews his readiness to enter Iran "as soon as possible, whether before or right after the regime collapses" to lead a transitional government. He has urged diaspora lobbying and street protests while speaking at CPAC in Texas through March 28, yet no confirmed travel plans, safe passage, or physical entry have occurred amid ongoing military tensions, IRGC resistance, and political instability. Trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for near-term entry, prioritizing regime collapse scenarios over immediate return.

Exiled Iranian Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi has intensified calls for regime change amid US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran, including those reportedly killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026, stating in early March Fox News interviews his readiness to enter Iran "as soon as possible, whether before or right after the regime collapses" to lead a transitional government. He has urged diaspora lobbying and street protests while speaking at CPAC in Texas through March 28, yet no confirmed travel plans, safe passage, or physical entry have occurred amid ongoing military tensions, IRGC resistance, and political instability. Trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for near-term entry, prioritizing regime collapse scenarios over immediate return.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"禮薩·巴列維會在…前進入伊朗嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 25%, followed by "6月30日" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "禮薩·巴列維會在…前進入伊朗嗎？" has generated $11.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "禮薩·巴列維會在…前進入伊朗嗎？," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "禮薩·巴列維會在…前進入伊朗嗎？" is "12月31日" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "6月30日" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "禮薩·巴列維會在…前進入伊朗嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.