No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days on countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31, leaving trader sentiment anchored to initial announcements from founding proponents earlier this year. Diplomatic outreach continues quietly among potential members, but no foreign ministries have confirmed participation, reflecting caution amid competing international priorities like ongoing conflicts and UN General Assembly sessions. Upcoming deadlines for official statements or treaty ratifications could shift dynamics in the final week, though structural barriers such as domestic parliamentary approvals and geopolitical alignments favor limited expansion. Markets imply trader consensus on low near-term momentum without breakthroughs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$1,721,034 交易量
印度
3%
義大利
2%
比利時
1%
巴西
1%
芬蘭
1%
英國
1%
德國
1%
法國
1%
俄羅斯
1%
中國
1%
丹麥
1%
荷蘭
1%
瑞典
1%
瑞士
1%
挪威
<1%
巴勒斯坦
<1%
西班牙
<1%
烏克蘭
<1%
$1,721,034 交易量
印度
3%
義大利
2%
比利時
1%
巴西
1%
芬蘭
1%
英國
1%
德國
1%
法國
1%
俄羅斯
1%
中國
1%
丹麥
1%
荷蘭
1%
瑞典
1%
瑞士
1%
挪威
<1%
巴勒斯坦
<1%
西班牙
<1%
烏克蘭
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jan 21, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days on countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31, leaving trader sentiment anchored to initial announcements from founding proponents earlier this year. Diplomatic outreach continues quietly among potential members, but no foreign ministries have confirmed participation, reflecting caution amid competing international priorities like ongoing conflicts and UN General Assembly sessions. Upcoming deadlines for official statements or treaty ratifications could shift dynamics in the final week, though structural barriers such as domestic parliamentary approvals and geopolitical alignments favor limited expansion. Markets imply trader consensus on low near-term momentum without breakthroughs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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