Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign has driven unprecedented purges in China's military leadership this year, with January dismissals of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia—a close ally and Vietnam veteran—and Chief of Staff Liu Zhenli reducing the CMC from seven members post-2022 Party Congress to just two loyalists. March's Two Sessions revealed further absences among senior officials, as Xi publicly demanded absolute political loyalty amid ongoing investigations into rocket force and theater commanders. These moves signal consolidation of power ahead of potential Taiwan contingencies or 2027 Party Congress, leaving traders focused on vulnerabilities in remaining Politburo members or PLA ranks, though no major developments have emerged in the past week.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$93,994 交易量
2026-12-31
董軍
19%
張升民
11%
蔡奇
8%
丁薛祥
8%
趙樂際
7%
王毅
4%
王滬寧
4%
李希
4%
李強
4%
$93,994 交易量
董軍
$9,214 交易量
19%
張升民
$12,492 交易量
11%
蔡奇
$23,666 交易量
8%
丁薛祥
$11,094 交易量
8%
趙樂際
$6,224 交易量
7%
王毅
$8,016 交易量
4%
王滬寧
$4,386 交易量
4%
李希
$14,926 交易量
4%
李強
$3,976 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign has driven unprecedented purges in China's military leadership this year, with January dismissals of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia—a close ally and Vietnam veteran—and Chief of Staff Liu Zhenli reducing the CMC from seven members post-2022 Party Congress to just two loyalists. March's Two Sessions revealed further absences among senior officials, as Xi publicly demanded absolute political loyalty amid ongoing investigations into rocket force and theater commanders. These moves signal consolidation of power ahead of potential Taiwan contingencies or 2027 Party Congress, leaving traders focused on vulnerabilities in remaining Politburo members or PLA ranks, though no major developments have emerged in the past week.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
交易量
$93,994結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign has driven unprecedented purges in China's military leadership this year, with January dismissals of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia—a close ally and Vietnam veteran—and Chief of Staff Liu Zhenli reducing the CMC from seven members post-2022 Party Congress to just two loyalists. March's Two Sessions revealed further absences among senior officials, as Xi publicly demanded absolute political loyalty amid ongoing investigations into rocket force and theater commanders. These moves signal consolidation of power ahead of potential Taiwan contingencies or 2027 Party Congress, leaving traders focused on vulnerabilities in remaining Politburo members or PLA ranks, though no major developments have emerged in the past week.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$93,994結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign has driven unprecedented purges in China's military leadership this year, with January dismissals of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia—a close ally and Vietnam veteran—and Chief of Staff Liu Zhenli reducing the CMC from seven members post-2022 Party Congress to just two loyalists. March's Two Sessions revealed further absences among senior officials, as Xi publicly demanded absolute political loyalty amid ongoing investigations into rocket force and theater commanders. These moves signal consolidation of power ahead of potential Taiwan contingencies or 2027 Party Congress, leaving traders focused on vulnerabilities in remaining Politburo members or PLA ranks, though no major developments have emerged in the past week.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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