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地緣政治·特朗普

馬可·盧比奧（ Marco Rubio ）訪問中國的時間

Market icon
地緣政治·特朗普

馬可·盧比奧（ Marco Rubio ）訪問中國的時間

$48,533 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$48,533 交易量

Polymarket

4月30日

$47,079 交易量

2%

12月31日

$1,453 交易量

70%

If Marco Rubio visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Rubio physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Rubio enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Marco Rubio, the US Federal Government, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, sanctioned by Beijing over prior senatorial criticism, has not visited China as of early April 2026 despite expectations to accompany President Trump's planned summit with Xi Jinping, originally set for late March but delayed amid bilateral irritants. Recent accusations by Rubio of Chinese harassment of Panama-flagged ships near the Panama Canal have heightened tensions, contributing to trader consensus pricing a low 2% chance of a visit by April 30 while implying 71% odds by December 31 via the wisdom of crowds on Polymarket. Beijing signaled sanctions would not apply to his current role, and a February Munich meeting with Foreign Minister Wang Yi paved diplomacy, but trip postponements and Rubio's hawkish rhetoric sustain uncertainty ahead of potential May rescheduling.

If Marco Rubio visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Rubio physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Rubio enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Marco Rubio, the US Federal Government, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$48,533
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Feb 17, 2026, 1:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Marco Rubio visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Rubio physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Rubio enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Marco Rubio, the US Federal Government, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Marco Rubio visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Rubio physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Rubio enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Marco Rubio, the US Federal Government, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, sanctioned by Beijing over prior senatorial criticism, has not visited China as of early April 2026 despite expectations to accompany President Trump's planned summit with Xi Jinping, originally set for late March but delayed amid bilateral irritants. Recent accusations by Rubio of Chinese harassment of Panama-flagged ships near the Panama Canal have heightened tensions, contributing to trader consensus pricing a low 2% chance of a visit by April 30 while implying 71% odds by December 31 via the wisdom of crowds on Polymarket. Beijing signaled sanctions would not apply to his current role, and a February Munich meeting with Foreign Minister Wang Yi paved diplomacy, but trip postponements and Rubio's hawkish rhetoric sustain uncertainty ahead of potential May rescheduling.

If Marco Rubio visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Rubio physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Rubio enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Marco Rubio, the US Federal Government, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$48,533
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Feb 17, 2026, 1:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Marco Rubio visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Rubio physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Rubio enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Marco Rubio, the US Federal Government, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"馬可·盧比奧（ Marco Rubio ）訪問中國的時間" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 70%, followed by "4月30日" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "馬可·盧比奧（ Marco Rubio ）訪問中國的時間" has generated $48.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "馬可·盧比奧（ Marco Rubio ）訪問中國的時間," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "馬可·盧比奧（ Marco Rubio ）訪問中國的時間" is "12月31日" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4月30日" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "馬可·盧比奧（ Marco Rubio ）訪問中國的時間" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.