General Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of China's Central Military Commission and a longtime ally of President Xi Jinping, has been under investigation for "serious violations of discipline and law" since late January 2026, as announced by the Ministry of National Defense. His absence from key public events, including the March 2026 National People's Congress military delegation session, underscores the ongoing probe amid Xi's sweeping anti-corruption campaign targeting PLA senior leadership. However, no formal charges, trial, or sentencing have been publicly disclosed three months later, aligning with opaque CCP disciplinary processes that rarely culminate in announced prison terms for top officials before extended internal handling. Traders' 89.5% consensus on "No" reflects historical precedents where such purges end in removal or disappearance without judicial sentencing, with the 2027 horizon leaving room for prolonged uncertainty absent new developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$106,816 交易量
$106,816 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$106,816 交易量
$106,816 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.General Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of China's Central Military Commission and a longtime ally of President Xi Jinping, has been under investigation for "serious violations of discipline and law" since late January 2026, as announced by the Ministry of National Defense. His absence from key public events, including the March 2026 National People's Congress military delegation session, underscores the ongoing probe amid Xi's sweeping anti-corruption campaign targeting PLA senior leadership. However, no formal charges, trial, or sentencing have been publicly disclosed three months later, aligning with opaque CCP disciplinary processes that rarely culminate in announced prison terms for top officials before extended internal handling. Traders' 89.5% consensus on "No" reflects historical precedents where such purges end in removal or disappearance without judicial sentencing, with the 2027 horizon leaving room for prolonged uncertainty absent new developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
交易量
$106,816結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.General Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of China's Central Military Commission and a longtime ally of President Xi Jinping, has been under investigation for "serious violations of discipline and law" since late January 2026, as announced by the Ministry of National Defense. His absence from key public events, including the March 2026 National People's Congress military delegation session, underscores the ongoing probe amid Xi's sweeping anti-corruption campaign targeting PLA senior leadership. However, no formal charges, trial, or sentencing have been publicly disclosed three months later, aligning with opaque CCP disciplinary processes that rarely culminate in announced prison terms for top officials before extended internal handling. Traders' 89.5% consensus on "No" reflects historical precedents where such purges end in removal or disappearance without judicial sentencing, with the 2027 horizon leaving room for prolonged uncertainty absent new developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$106,816結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...General Zhang Youxia, vice chairman of China's Central Military Commission and a longtime ally of President Xi Jinping, has been under investigation for "serious violations of discipline and law" since late January 2026, as announced by the Ministry of National Defense. His absence from key public events, including the March 2026 National People's Congress military delegation session, underscores the ongoing probe amid Xi's sweeping anti-corruption campaign targeting PLA senior leadership. However, no formal charges, trial, or sentencing have been publicly disclosed three months later, aligning with opaque CCP disciplinary processes that rarely culminate in announced prison terms for top officials before extended internal handling. Traders' 89.5% consensus on "No" reflects historical precedents where such purges end in removal or disappearance without judicial sentencing, with the 2027 horizon leaving room for prolonged uncertainty absent new developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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