Trader consensus on the duration of the next filmed handshake between President Trump and President Xi Jinping remains tightly contested ahead of their rescheduled bilateral summit in China on May 14-15, with 6–10 seconds leading at 33% and 15 seconds or more close behind at 27%, reflecting uncertainty over rapport amid heightened U.S.-China frictions. Their October 2025 Busan meeting featured a 27-second handshake signaling warmth, but recent delays—stemming from U.S. military actions against Iran, where China has maintained support—alongside reports of potential record Taiwan arms sales post-visit and Trump's mix of personal praise for Xi with firm trade and security demands, have tempered expectations for an extended gesture. Pre-summit diplomatic signals or agenda leaks on tariffs, rare earths, or Taiwan could widen the gap between medium and longer durations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於6–10秒 33%
15秒以上 27%
10–15秒 19%
2–6秒 9%
$58,618 交易量
$58,618 交易量
2026-12-31
不握手
4%
少於2秒
3%
2–6秒
9%
6–10秒
33%
10–15秒
19%
15秒以上
27%
只合照
2%
6–10秒 33%
15秒以上 27%
10–15秒 19%
2–6秒 9%
$58,618 交易量
$58,618 交易量
2026-12-31
不握手
$11,196 交易量
4%
少於2秒
$13,228 交易量
3%
2–6秒
$10,712 交易量
9%
6–10秒
$3,540 交易量
33%
10–15秒
$3,657 交易量
19%
15秒以上
$7,275 交易量
27%
只合照
$9,010 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus on the duration of the next filmed handshake between President Trump and President Xi Jinping remains tightly contested ahead of their rescheduled bilateral summit in China on May 14-15, with 6–10 seconds leading at 33% and 15 seconds or more close behind at 27%, reflecting uncertainty over rapport amid heightened U.S.-China frictions. Their October 2025 Busan meeting featured a 27-second handshake signaling warmth, but recent delays—stemming from U.S. military actions against Iran, where China has maintained support—alongside reports of potential record Taiwan arms sales post-visit and Trump's mix of personal praise for Xi with firm trade and security demands, have tempered expectations for an extended gesture. Pre-summit diplomatic signals or agenda leaks on tariffs, rare earths, or Taiwan could widen the gap between medium and longer durations.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
市場開放時間： Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
交易量
$58,618結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus on the duration of the next filmed handshake between President Trump and President Xi Jinping remains tightly contested ahead of their rescheduled bilateral summit in China on May 14-15, with 6–10 seconds leading at 33% and 15 seconds or more close behind at 27%, reflecting uncertainty over rapport amid heightened U.S.-China frictions. Their October 2025 Busan meeting featured a 27-second handshake signaling warmth, but recent delays—stemming from U.S. military actions against Iran, where China has maintained support—alongside reports of potential record Taiwan arms sales post-visit and Trump's mix of personal praise for Xi with firm trade and security demands, have tempered expectations for an extended gesture. Pre-summit diplomatic signals or agenda leaks on tariffs, rare earths, or Taiwan could widen the gap between medium and longer durations.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
交易量
$58,618結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the duration of the next filmed handshake between President Trump and President Xi Jinping remains tightly contested ahead of their rescheduled bilateral summit in China on May 14-15, with 6–10 seconds leading at 33% and 15 seconds or more close behind at 27%, reflecting uncertainty over rapport amid heightened U.S.-China frictions. Their October 2025 Busan meeting featured a 27-second handshake signaling warmth, but recent delays—stemming from U.S. military actions against Iran, where China has maintained support—alongside reports of potential record Taiwan arms sales post-visit and Trump's mix of personal praise for Xi with firm trade and security demands, have tempered expectations for an extended gesture. Pre-summit diplomatic signals or agenda leaks on tariffs, rare earths, or Taiwan could widen the gap between medium and longer durations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions