Trader consensus on the Trump-Xi summit handshake duration remains tightly contested, with 6–10 seconds (29.5%), 15+ seconds (26.5%), and 10–15 seconds (21%) leading amid uncertainty over the leaders' personal rapport at the confirmed May 14–15 Beijing meeting, delayed from late March due to the US-Iran conflict. Recent Paris trade negotiators' talks addressed tariffs, fentanyl, and Taiwan without resolving tensions, while Trump's public comments on a "good relationship with China" contrast hardline policies, splitting bets across mid-range outcomes based on historical varying greetings. Low odds on no handshake (3.5%) reflect diplomatic protocol expectations, but pre-summit announcements or escalation signals could widen gaps.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於6–10秒 29%
10–15秒 29%
15秒以上 27%
2–6秒 9%
$58,164 交易量
$58,164 交易量
2026-12-31
不握手
4%
少於2秒
3%
2–6秒
9%
6–10秒
29%
10–15秒
21%
15秒以上
27%
只合照
2%
6–10秒 29%
10–15秒 29%
15秒以上 27%
2–6秒 9%
$58,164 交易量
$58,164 交易量
2026-12-31
不握手
$11,196 交易量
4%
少於2秒
$13,228 交易量
3%
2–6秒
$10,712 交易量
9%
6–10秒
$3,410 交易量
29%
10–15秒
$3,446 交易量
21%
15秒以上
$7,162 交易量
27%
只合照
$9,010 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus on the Trump-Xi summit handshake duration remains tightly contested, with 6–10 seconds (29.5%), 15+ seconds (26.5%), and 10–15 seconds (21%) leading amid uncertainty over the leaders' personal rapport at the confirmed May 14–15 Beijing meeting, delayed from late March due to the US-Iran conflict. Recent Paris trade negotiators' talks addressed tariffs, fentanyl, and Taiwan without resolving tensions, while Trump's public comments on a "good relationship with China" contrast hardline policies, splitting bets across mid-range outcomes based on historical varying greetings. Low odds on no handshake (3.5%) reflect diplomatic protocol expectations, but pre-summit announcements or escalation signals could widen gaps.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
市場開放時間： Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
交易量
$58,164結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus on the Trump-Xi summit handshake duration remains tightly contested, with 6–10 seconds (29.5%), 15+ seconds (26.5%), and 10–15 seconds (21%) leading amid uncertainty over the leaders' personal rapport at the confirmed May 14–15 Beijing meeting, delayed from late March due to the US-Iran conflict. Recent Paris trade negotiators' talks addressed tariffs, fentanyl, and Taiwan without resolving tensions, while Trump's public comments on a "good relationship with China" contrast hardline policies, splitting bets across mid-range outcomes based on historical varying greetings. Low odds on no handshake (3.5%) reflect diplomatic protocol expectations, but pre-summit announcements or escalation signals could widen gaps.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
交易量
$58,164結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the Trump-Xi summit handshake duration remains tightly contested, with 6–10 seconds (29.5%), 15+ seconds (26.5%), and 10–15 seconds (21%) leading amid uncertainty over the leaders' personal rapport at the confirmed May 14–15 Beijing meeting, delayed from late March due to the US-Iran conflict. Recent Paris trade negotiators' talks addressed tariffs, fentanyl, and Taiwan without resolving tensions, while Trump's public comments on a "good relationship with China" contrast hardline policies, splitting bets across mid-range outcomes based on historical varying greetings. Low odds on no handshake (3.5%) reflect diplomatic protocol expectations, but pre-summit announcements or escalation signals could widen gaps.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions